Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 341 | 61.2¢ | $309 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 118 | 82.3¢ | $107 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0x26ca…edba | Yes | 22 | 92.3¢ | $20 | — |
| varch010x0362…449e | Yes | 20 | 85.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 13,127 bets |
| 0x13e1…0805 | Yes | 20 | 90.0¢ | $18 | — |
| sanmos1110x8a57…0358 | Yes | 20 | 90.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 131 | 10.9¢ | $12 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 11 | 91.3¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | 10 | 84.0¢ | $9 | — |
| NyaMeow0x1543…4dba | Yes | 6 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 46 | 25.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 32 | 9.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 18 | 11.3¢ | $2 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 1 | 60.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | No | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.