Market · 10 of 19 outcomes
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 1,899 | 85.3¢ | $1.68K | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 656 | 87.4¢ | $581 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 294 |
| 87.1¢ |
| $260 |
| — |
| 0x333333333330xb425…ed54 | No | 200 | 88.0¢ | $177 | — |
| cumprod0x3ffe…e125 | No | 159 | 86.9¢ | $141 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 735 | 12.4¢ | $85 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 572 | 14.5¢ | $66 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| Vodka-0x7842…4d91 | Yes | 500 | 16.0¢ | $58 | — |
| Esmememeralda0x5037…0307 | No | 50 | 87.6¢ | $44 | — |
| polyweatheryuan0x6bf6…2529 | No | 50 | 88.0¢ | $44 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 48 | 86.6¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| anonymoususer100x67ce…cd2f | Yes | 266 | 11.7¢ | $31 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 250 | 15.2¢ | $29 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 27 | 89.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| rocky420150x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | 196 | 12.0¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 9,642 bets |
| cubsy0x5eda…d453 | Yes | 196 | 10.7¢ | $23 | — |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | Yes | 133 | 11.8¢ | $15 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 129 | 12.5¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,019 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 14 | 88.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| keepingitral0xf26c…d5c5 | Yes | 100 | 13.0¢ | $12 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 94 | 12.2¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Ning00490x110e…5db1 | No | 11 | 88.0¢ | $10 | New85 settled bets |
| wugeyi0xf3ca…60ae | No | 11 | 83.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 858 bets |
| sentewa400x7b41…50a7 | Yes | 71 | 14.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Trumprinter0x4628…c43a | No | 9 | 88.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 9 | 91.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| alivedeer0xe0c5…913c | Yes | 50 | 15.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$12.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| oyunadahil0xdba1…fdf8 | Yes | 48 | 8.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 6 | 87.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| 0xeae7…8e9e | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xaa06…1e0f | Yes | 31 | 16.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 1,046 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 4 | 88.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| 0xfa7f…49d6 | No | 3 | 89.4¢ | $2 | — |
| kitty070xe84f…af9c | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | 15 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | 12 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dekivagyok0x7fa1…deeb | Yes | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| emv0000x0b06…b0ff | Yes | 8 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3d03…9d52 | Yes | 8 | 16.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,098 bets |
| 0x703b…2320 | Yes | 7 | 14.1¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 5 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 3 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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