Market
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
16 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | No | 28,293 | 73.5¢ | $28.1K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | No | 12,326 | 75.6¢ | $12.2K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| yen4u0xf0d5…c665 | No | 12,177 | 60.5¢ | $12.1K | Losing−$5.26 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | No | 7,944 | 99.0¢ | $7.89K | Proven+$4.91 per $100 · 2,290 bets |
| turtle9110x4fff…be78 | No | 7,056 | 80.3¢ | $7.01K | Proven+$2.44 per $100 · 1,511 bets |
| ClickKlackClick0x9727…9157 | No | 6,646 | 98.8¢ | $6.6K | Proven+$9.06 per $100 · 187 bets |
| SmallFishInWhaleStomach0xf67f…31cf | No | 5,882 | 79.1¢ | $5.84K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 214 bets |
| Mr-Krabs0x8597…daee | No | 5,436 | 81.8¢ | $5.4K | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 840 bets |
| LFC80xb295…4ee4 | No | 4,462 | 79.3¢ | $4.43K | — |
| slowdance0xfe05…931c | No | 4,166 | 75.0¢ | $4.14K | — |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 3,300 | 83.4¢ | $3.28K | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,717 bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 2,500 | 99.6¢ | $2.48K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,357 bets |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee0x64b4…b21e | No | 2,434 | 70.7¢ | $2.42K | Positive+$11.62 per $100 · 216 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 2,393 | 99.9¢ | $2.38K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| steevo0x0437…30f4 | No | 2,220 | 82.0¢ | $2.21K | — |
| cookiejar0x614e…4f1b | No | 1,484 | 49.2¢ | $1.47K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 315 bets |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | No | 1,460 | 97.4¢ | $1.45K | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,310 bets |
| 0xd37d…c735 | No | 1,408 | 81.1¢ | $1.4K | Proven+$11.44 per $100 · 1,079 bets |
| 0x9e29…b884 | No | 1,300 | 78.5¢ | $1.29K | — |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 1,290 | 68.8¢ | $1.28K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| memetal0x7b84…a13e | No | 1,031 | 98.6¢ | $1.02K | — |
| cmarx0x1733…9411 | No | 1,019 | 75.7¢ | $1.01K | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| RegMonkey0xfe27…52b7 | No | 1,000 | 77.4¢ | $994 | — |
| 0xef97…ab2c | No | 828 | 76.9¢ | $823 | — |
| lamyk0xc004…c095 | No | 600 | 57.0¢ | $596 | — |
| lIllIlllIlIl0x7afc…ea2c | No | 518 | 99.8¢ | $514 | — |
| DonationsReceiver0x8476…5418 | No | 480 | 74.8¢ | $477 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 485 bets |
| tbyck0x6510…ea95 | No | 460 | 98.8¢ | $457 | — |
| clazzy10xb23e…829a | No | 431 | 83.2¢ | $428 | — |
| Dud30xdfdb…703d | No | 420 | 98.8¢ | $417 | — |
| bigfishhunter20xe43e…97c2 | No | 324 | 77.8¢ | $322 | — |
| 0xd6fd…c6fc | No | 306 | 99.8¢ | $304 | — |
| Bromley860x0b65…293e | No | 300 | 98.0¢ | $298 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,103 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | No | 264 | 68.8¢ | $263 | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| VolynMolfar0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | 219 | 97.7¢ | $218 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| elexor0x2c50…70e3 | No | 201 | 5.0¢ | $199 | — |
| pc-company0x34c6…ea15 | No | 175 | 79.1¢ | $174 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | No | 160 | 75.9¢ | $159 | — |
| 0x7f6d…f6f6 | No | 152 | 79.1¢ | $151 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 273 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 131 | 57.0¢ | $130 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 16,813 | 23.8¢ | $109 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| notsureeeeeeee0xa388…ba6e | No | 108 | 98.0¢ | $107 | — |
| Bokich0x378d…a852 | No | 107 | 78.5¢ | $107 | — |
| 0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a950xafde…3e1d | Yes | 16,356 | 33.7¢ | $106 | Proven+$13.18 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| shugafa0x50b4…c879 | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| DeverNoom0x529d…6381 | No | 100 | 74.5¢ | $99 | Proven+$3.16 per $100 · 877 bets |
| Relaccsed0xa6b7…d5f3 | No | 100 | 81.1¢ | $99 | — |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | No | 100 | 98.2¢ | $99 | New60 settled bets |
| 0xu4903fvjdcjxolzx40x039f…2de5 | No | 90 | 53.7¢ | $89 | — |
| roundtripped0x82cf…0998 | Yes | 11,685 | 35.4¢ | $76 | Proven+$49.71 per $100 · 468 bets |
| rigatohni0x12e4…dfc2 | Yes | 10,864 | 25.6¢ | $71 | Proven+$94.10 per $100 · 100 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 9,843 | 1.1¢ | $64 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| mpstire-lutuwar0xfde1…3690 | Yes | 5,841 | 34.6¢ | $38 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 220 bets |
| 0009990000x074a…f0e0 | Yes | 4,667 | 27.0¢ | $30 | Proven+$29.97 per $100 · 295 bets |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | Yes | 4,314 | 24.6¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,875 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 4,000 | 21.0¢ | $26 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| 0x26b1…cc81 | Yes | 3,314 | 26.1¢ | $22 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 3,100 | 0.7¢ | $20 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| BBX1GbDS0110xf1d5…54d5 | Yes | 2,240 | 34.0¢ | $15 | — |
| AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | 2,164 | 27.6¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 13,578 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,065 | 25.5¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x5039…946d | Yes | 2,000 | 26.3¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 587 bets |
| 0x955c…990f | Yes | 1,623 | 44.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 587 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 1,378 | 27.6¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| cruzzzz0xa486…25d4 | Yes | 1,309 | 19.7¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.94 per $100 · 4,353 bets |
| suraxy0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | 1,308 | 0.5¢ | $9 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 2,870 bets |
| TestingMyGangster0x3a51…fd7f | Yes | 1,159 | 21.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 136 bets |
| Cypya0x9709…52ab | Yes | 1,064 | 20.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$4.21 per $100 · 3,049 bets |
| qww10xbbcf…20ae | Yes | 1,000 | 8.5¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 10,855 bets |
| mr.fig0xca16…f878 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| 0xd322d1e58dc7d60ddc886bcb9d456eb5da887730xb3cf…e7f3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 964 | 1.1¢ | $6 | — |
| anqana0x6b60…9c7e | Yes | 950 | 18.7¢ | $6 | — |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 730 | 37.6¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| Calimer00x5b72…bedd | Yes | 710 | 27.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.49 per $100 · 949 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 698 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | Yes | 579 | 5.0¢ | $4 | New32 settled bets |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | 550 | 23.2¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 537 | 25.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 500 | 29.4¢ | $3 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| 0x2015…9678 | Yes | 447 | 44.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 444 | 5.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| bigish0x6875…a463 | Yes | 435 | 26.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 423 | 1.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 10,279 bets |
| ZeroSigma0x551a…86b9 | Yes | 420 | 22.4¢ | $3 | — |
| GodRama0x8b72…6dbe | Yes | 405 | 26.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.43 per $100 · 3,463 bets |
| PetiaMakentosh0xeea7…2004 | Yes | 394 | 2.9¢ | $3 | — |
| keepingitral0xf26c…d5c5 | Yes | 358 | 24.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Shevcov0x6b13…f125 | Yes | 342 | 21.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 449 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 340 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| F84.50xf7b4…2aea | Yes | 310 | 27.8¢ | $2 | — |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 300 | 20.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| 0xa3d7…4084 | Yes | 288 | 32.1¢ | $2 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 284 | 28.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 563 bets |
| Rainless0x9d5e…3921 | Yes | 216 | 24.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | Yes | 74 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.