Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | 2,367 | 93.2¢ | $2.31K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 1,837 | 96.9¢ | $1.79K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| panyahgym0x7a01…624a | No | 1,564 | 96.1¢ | $1.52K | — |
| ArbitrageTaker0x5e92…618a | No | 800 | 92.0¢ | $780 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | No | 265 | 94.1¢ | $258 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| TTdes0x2586…c893 | No | 264 | 96.1¢ | $257 | Proven+$7.50 per $100 · 1,356 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 201 | 97.4¢ | $196 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x3561…a790 | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $195 | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 130 | 94.3¢ | $127 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| stpnswss0x4c6a…2436 | No | 119 | 94.6¢ | $116 | — |
| nbggt0x4c96…193d | No | 100 | 97.9¢ | $98 | — |
| mongarrr0x57a3…6c15 | No | 100 | 97.9¢ | $98 | — |
| 0x5f50…24e9 | No | 67 | 88.0¢ | $65 | — |
| hadarhaddad0x1946…6367 | No | 63 | 97.8¢ | $61 | — |
| 0x333e…369b | No | 60 | 94.0¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 163 bets |
| lolixx230x5408…df65 | No | 60 | 97.9¢ | $58 | — |
| kebabmaster220x1aa8…018b | No | 59 | 97.9¢ | $58 | — |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 55 | 96.4¢ | $54 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| vinnyalug0x6c6b…c3da | No | 51 | 97.7¢ | $50 | — |
| jooseppadar53960x9dae…0907 | No | 51 | 98.4¢ | $50 | — |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 1,954 | 3.2¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 46 | 97.7¢ | $45 | — |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 41 | 94.2¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| UniByte0x4075…8fb8 | Yes | 1,500 | 7.0¢ | $38 | — |
| propropro0x4a9d…75ed | No | 37 | 96.5¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 33 | 93.0¢ | $33 | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| Salemeh0x36cf…d828 | Yes | 1,100 | 8.0¢ | $27 | — |
| romachrono0x2b3a…da24 | No | 19 | 97.2¢ | $19 | — |
| shizahon0x8acb…63b2 | Yes | 600 | 7.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 15 | 97.4¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| 0x8351…9beb | Yes | 435 | 2.4¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 2,897 bets |
| brianhaon0x81a0…dd29 | No | 10 | 97.2¢ | $10 | — |
| btobtobeto0xe81e…8e30 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $10 | — |
| poorersob0x45bc…978b | No | 10 | 96.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0x9f12…4e57 | Yes | 365 | 5.7¢ | $9 | — |
| Crabbbo0xfd25…307c | Yes | 253 | 15.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Germangambler08150x6018…4daa | Yes | 250 | 8.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 8020rule0x33c2…f710 | Yes | 239 | 8.8¢ | $6 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| GloriousMug0x2110…8937 | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| WanderingImpulse0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | 189 | 5.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 172 | 5.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | No | 4 | 95.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xacbd…61e3 | Yes | 151 | 6.6¢ | $4 | — |
| rayfinklesghost0xcf6f…1163 | Yes | 141 | 4.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x24ef…1ee2 | Yes | 133 | 12.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 121 | 5.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Wtft0x5b7d…8a55 | Yes | 111 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Ox359449186AafB044680CeF3BBe2aB4FAba7025990x3594…2599 | No | 2 | 97.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 66 | 11.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| 0x1db1…7a57 | Yes | 65 | 6.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x232b…1d3c | Yes | 61 | 8.1¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420130xf971…0a57 | Yes | 59 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 55 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| UnknownOrange0xb9b3…89fc | Yes | 50 | 2.4¢ | $1 | — |
| miya20160xbecd…f54e | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.17 per $100 · 2,286 bets |
| emapol30x853a…1a9f | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ZveightJMB0x60e1…6b77 | Yes | 43 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4809…433d | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zhongpol0x5656…e089 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd386…38fa | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SupersonicStrawberry0x2302…d402 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lovecraft-2250xdc4d…f2c9 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Derwerw0x67c0…654e | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc64e…2547 | No | 1 | 96.9¢ | $1 | — |
| vma10xd990…6086 | Yes | 38 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| chicomark0xde06…cab7 | Yes | 33 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| eacnft0xedda…d6ff | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| amuck88880xc987…6b8a | Yes | 29 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| IntoDarkness7790x3d3c…630b | Yes | 26 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| furtigan0x78ec…2d07 | Yes | 25 | 8.1¢ | $1 | — |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 23 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| 0x348xserenoo0x348d…5102 | Yes | 23 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x167a…f884 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| polyrocket.0xf71c…4dab | Yes | 14 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 13 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| OverlookHotel0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$23.70 per $100 · 297 bets |
| rmngod0x4d12…29d9 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2196…293e | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x376b…d874 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x46bc…eda6 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4870…66a9 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5501…8119 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x67ec…7a13 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6bca…7bdb | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7b17…0e3d | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x98e3…51b2 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x99e3…6742 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bbb…3f62 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa4bb…b209 | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb79c…556f | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb12…055a | Yes | 12 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 676767670x7a96…3d0d | No | 0 | 94.4¢ | $0 | — |
| doodlecroodle0x39b0…6c9e | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| alexandro090xba1b…6e84 | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ngahunter90000x877c…3a0e | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 94.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.