Market · 10 of 14 outcomes
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 3,943 | 86.6¢ | $3.8K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 450 | 57.0¢ | $433 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,270 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 449 | 56.2¢ | $432 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| BettingBoi0xaee7…05e9 | No | 371 | 76.3¢ | $357 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 378 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 298 | 90.4¢ | $287 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| AntonDor0xfd82…342b | No | 200 | 83.8¢ | $193 | — |
| RobertDarcy0xcbf3…53a5 | No | 185 | 54.0¢ | $178 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 114 | 83.1¢ | $110 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 1,629 | 20.4¢ | $60 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| PrimaryPartner0x218f…7ef2 | No | 45 | 65.7¢ | $43 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 242 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 38 | 60.0¢ | $36 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 38 | 96.9¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| roman-160x28c8…a343 | No | 37 | 82.6¢ | $35 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 894 | 12.6¢ | $33 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 2,438 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 31 | 59.8¢ | $30 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| DanBolla330x4934…6d71 | No | 30 | 70.0¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 1,356 bets |
| ajaaja0x93d4…7345 | No | 30 | 90.0¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 238 bets |
| MrPug0x5d17…0d91 | No | 29 | 70.3¢ | $28 | — |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | No | 28 | 59.7¢ | $27 | — |
| argus-br0x6753…b37d | No | 22 | 91.4¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x2a99…7059 | No | 20 | 54.0¢ | $19 | — |
| jyxk18261lhz0xef70…b3e4 | No | 16 | 64.0¢ | $15 | — |
| goask0x1cea…f32a | Yes | 379 | 39.8¢ | $14 | — |
| XieGuangKun0x25dc…e33b | Yes | 358 | 46.0¢ | $13 | Proven+$9.37 per $100 · 1,200 bets |
| lightshield0xabff…6b73 | Yes | 320 | 16.6¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x52c6…cbf8 | No | 11 | 94.2¢ | $10 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 250 | 3.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 239 | 39.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 9 | 75.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 229 | 6.5¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 1806kmw24t0s0x48d4…c5f8 | No | 9 | 64.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xe2cb…ea82 | No | 8 | 65.0¢ | $7 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 200 | 23.5¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 199 | 15.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 7 | 60.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 189 | 6.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 168 | 17.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 159 | 3.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| 0xe795…0eaa | No | 6 | 63.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Iamnotginger0x9aa5…6aa8 | No | 6 | 83.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Fefe123550xc3a3…093d | Yes | 147 | 17.6¢ | $5 | New30 settled bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 130 | 6.9¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| yieldagent0xee54…ddcf | No | 5 | 83.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Biomaster0x4add…8cdf | No | 5 | 83.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 105 | 18.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x67ed…00d6 | Yes | 102 | 36.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 100 | 17.6¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 4 | 94.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | Yes | 80 | 7.7¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 79 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5 | Yes | 63 | 16.5¢ | $2 | — |
| DotorMenen0xde53…0e07 | Yes | 61 | 46.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 56 | 45.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| R20t0xd0c8…e944 | No | 2 | 65.0¢ | $2 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | No | 2 | 70.0¢ | $2 | — |
| bobo2110x2b8b…c17e | No | 2 | 56.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 41 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 39 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Lumnezia0x751d…248f | No | 1 | 68.0¢ | $1 | — |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | No | 1 | 0.0¢ | $1 | New45 settled bets |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 1 | 85.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| AmonMultipleTroops0x2244…b9c2 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.33 per $100 · 890 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0x9ac0…d756 | Yes | 30 | 20.6¢ | $1 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7c27…6e68 | Yes | 29 | 3.6¢ | $1 | — |
| GreenYoshi0xc8b2…7c84 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| alwaysOn0xc550…272d | No | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,030 bets |
| Redshota0x6f96…21a9 | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| WaymoTrader0x619d…e06b | Yes | 12 | 27.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 10 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 10 | 6.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| VStahlecker0x872f…4a2f | Yes | 10 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x86b6…9e92 | Yes | 8 | 19.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | No | 0 | 71.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 6 | 17.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0x4908…8a94 | Yes | 6 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 5 | 34.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| KARACAC0xbb50…7bfc | Yes | 5 | 37.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | 4 | 17.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4e51…448f | Yes | 4 | 27.9¢ | $0 | — |
| keybo0xc71b…e265 | Yes | 3 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| G9vQK5Gcyx0xe90f…131e | No | 0 | 81.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 2 | 32.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | Yes | 1 | 45.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| nilestrades0x2721…cf8a | No | 0 | 77.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x43ca2355417D300x9f92…2c2d | Yes | 0 | 19.7¢ | $0 | — |
| lako130x065b…714f | Yes | 0 | 31.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 56sdfdsfs0x610e…b852 | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.