Market · 10 of 14 outcomes
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StraddleSeller0x5207…686b | No | 531 | 89.1¢ | $512 | Proven+$18.06 per $100 · 506 bets |
| LFGGGGGGGG0x8ba9…b683 | No | 413 | 90.2¢ | $398 | — |
| 0x351d…0ebe | No | 268 | 93.4¢ | $258 | — |
| 0x34dc…d280 | No | 107 | 93.9¢ | $103 | — |
| createfit0x03b0…6368 | No | 100 | 96.6¢ | $96 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 193 bets |
| create66660xc1d1…f1ba | No | 100 | 96.6¢ | $96 | — |
| list-o.lube0x7efd…585d | No | 55 | 96.6¢ | $53 | — |
| EstebanCeviche0x9b31…398e | No | 53 | 94.4¢ | $51 | — |
| boris19750xcb9c…e49e | No | 50 | 96.4¢ | $48 | — |
| DanielaMestizo0xc934…5551 | No | 46 | 93.9¢ | $44 | — |
| asxcs0x13ad…5906 | No | 31 | 92.1¢ | $29 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 25 | 95.8¢ | $24 | — |
| randomWalkingShrimp0x30d1…4525 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$8.22 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 524 | 3.9¢ | $19 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| MikeHumanities0xcff0…cd78 | No | 17 | 96.9¢ | $16 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 213 | 6.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 2,438 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 205 | 5.4¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| threeballs0xdf22…df0f | Yes | 182 | 3.1¢ | $6 | — |
| gu6540x61d3…6772 | No | 5 | 94.6¢ | $5 | — |
| tekniton0x1f17…a918 | No | 5 | 96.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$21.06 per $100 · 254 bets |
| 0x250d…6d16 | No | 5 | 85.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 96.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| xixixixixiix0xec41…1134 | No | 5 | 86.0¢ | $5 | — |
| kailsorit0x62ed…bfd3 | No | 4 | 96.4¢ | $4 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 4.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 4.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 90 | 3.6¢ | $3 | — |
| AmonMultipleTroops0x2244…b9c2 | No | 3 | 97.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.33 per $100 · 890 bets |
| BuyDipZ0xdd15…7cc5 | Yes | 61 | 33.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 89.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| Babayaga100x79d7…c3a2 | Yes | 50 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| barnacles240x0b6f…e5b9 | Yes | 33 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 31 | 3.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 30 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| oxEA405Cc8b16aBdD29023FeB5ba626189815A86b90xea40…86b9 | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 28 | 3.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 26 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 85,829 bets |
| Bikesarethebest0x0a6d…1d0a | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.92 per $100 · 12,041 bets |
| 0x2cb3…9929 | Yes | 14 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5fbd…e58c | Yes | 14 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6851…46a5 | Yes | 14 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7b5a…b2d0 | Yes | 14 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x85b5…0b68 | Yes | 14 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8e75…3b72 | Yes | 14 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x94f6…4b70 | Yes | 14 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb813…7565 | Yes | 14 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc911…1968 | Yes | 14 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcf90…8b9d | Yes | 14 | 7.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfb97…308d | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 28autos0x507a…be1f | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 3,045 bets |
| speed-70xda89…f562 | Yes | 5 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 3 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 93.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 2 | 10.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| t1m0ts1d10x8570…52b5 | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Braxtonz0x4c73…8df5 | No | 0 | 93.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 0 | 4.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| projectparrot0xc77b…a526 | Yes | 0 | 10.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.