Market · 8 of 14 outcomes
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 1,658 | 94.7¢ | $1.58K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 752 | 95.9¢ | $718 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 470 | 90.9¢ | $449 | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 885 bets |
| sisyphos0x3140…76d9 | No | 363 | 86.4¢ | $346 | — |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 120 | 95.1¢ | $115 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| DREAMBIG.0x9e8e…8db8 | No | 115 | 93.9¢ | $110 | Proven+$18.01 per $100 · 5,706 bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 106 | 92.0¢ | $101 | — |
| boredtrade0x6f09…858f | No | 104 | 96.2¢ | $99 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 87 | 92.7¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | No | 60 | 94.0¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x1dec…0f87 | No | 51 | 95.2¢ | $49 | — |
| h0ip0ll0i0x95ba…3a5c | Yes | 1,000 | 5.2¢ | $45 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 47 | 95.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 44 | 94.1¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x300f…d366 | No | 25 | 81.0¢ | $24 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 391 | 8.0¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| argus-br0x6753…b37d | No | 16 | 95.2¢ | $15 | — |
| vitalitytens0xa1b9…8179 | Yes | 330 | 11.5¢ | $15 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 15 | 75.6¢ | $14 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 297 | 0.0¢ | $13 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 12 | 94.7¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 211 | 0.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 200 | 13.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 200 | 15.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 179 | 6.5¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| qcp140xa76b…8a50 | No | 8 | 95.0¢ | $8 | — |
| defeatatmarengo0x15bb…22b3 | Yes | 167 | 6.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 154 | 5.0¢ | $7 | — |
| erenyeagr0xc66c…36ac | Yes | 150 | 5.3¢ | $7 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 150 | 7.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 7 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| Biejci0xc1eb…4272 | No | 6 | 96.2¢ | $6 | — |
| abhinv70xf99d…f867 | No | 6 | 94.0¢ | $6 | — |
| hopehope1230xcdec…70c9 | No | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xbdf6…ceb2 | Yes | 106 | 9.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 100 | 4.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| BuyDipZ0xdd15…7cc5 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 5 | 0.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 81 | 0.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 73 | 0.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 3 | 94.9¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x4c99…1fe9 | No | 3 | 92.0¢ | $3 | — |
| doesntlisten0x5795…69f9 | No | 3 | 95.7¢ | $2 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 92.3¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 40 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| globero030xa903…cb9a | Yes | 34 | 10.4¢ | $2 | — |
| ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D2170x9614…d217 | No | 2 | 95.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 30 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 30 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 220 bets |
| shpr0x969a…e3e7 | No | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| kennedychad0x24ef…ba00 | No | 1 | 96.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Plexity0x4770…7a45 | Yes | 17 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf004…adaf | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x548f…f01c | Yes | 9 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Salzpack0x8ba7…a1c6 | Yes | 7 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| dimdimka0xf307…e177 | Yes | 7 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 4 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 2 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kriperpapai0x9ad6…c1f2 | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| DoorAsPee0x9cab…90e4 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| entoizdotacholy0xa6cc…0649 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| coolspotf0xc089…149b | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| losetkad0xee63…5d76 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| alphapixel0xb9c8…39f7 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ramsisgursa0x74f9…d5f3 | No | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| mountaingreen0xb79f…d749 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.