Market · 6 of 14 outcomes
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xce92…6e4b | No | 1,501 | 68.8¢ | $1.36K | New14 settled bets |
| dwarf1230x8dc9…434f | No | 485 | 90.1¢ | $439 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 451 | 76.1¢ | $408 | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 1,716 bets |
| KingZeManel0x7bff…7cd6 | No | 440 | 78.5¢ | $398 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 11,579 bets |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 405 | 75.8¢ | $367 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| 0x9ec4…2e6a | No | 400 | 83.0¢ | $362 | — |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 331 | 86.6¢ | $299 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| flexibleagedbeef0xbbc5…b08b | No | 306 | 88.9¢ | $277 | — |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No | 245 | 72.4¢ | $222 | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 241 | 69.2¢ | $218 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 235 | 85.7¢ | $212 | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 469 bets |
| M8880x4344…f90d | Yes | 2,159 | 30.3¢ | $205 | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| persikbandit0xe499…b583 | No | 221 | 78.0¢ | $200 | — |
| herewe0x3b5b…26fa | No | 200 | 73.7¢ | $181 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 179 bets |
| mazyro0x0950…62f4 | No | 130 | 76.7¢ | $118 | — |
| dee0ne0xb12d…26d1 | Yes | 1,213 | 42.9¢ | $115 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 110 | 68.8¢ | $100 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 100 | 60.0¢ | $91 | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 885 bets |
| John.Gault0x8fa0…72d6 | No | 100 | 74.0¢ | $91 | — |
| 0x2010xd63e…71df | No | 100 | 76.0¢ | $90 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 99 | 45.0¢ | $89 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| mocking-guess0x49b5…d249 | No | 91 | 68.2¢ | $82 | — |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | No | 74 | 74.4¢ | $67 | — |
| keitam23810x4fdd…d958 | No | 73 | 55.9¢ | $66 | — |
| PadreMaronno0xc468…009d | No | 60 | 54.0¢ | $54 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 57 | 88.0¢ | $51 | New42 settled bets |
| waihin0xabcc…2fd5 | No | 55 | 55.6¢ | $50 | — |
| Art08880x161a…b515 | Yes | 449 | 69.0¢ | $43 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 384 bets |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 47 | 85.5¢ | $43 | — |
| Hakadashi0x322d…dba7 | No | 44 | 79.1¢ | $40 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 380 | 14.3¢ | $36 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| roman-160x28c8…a343 | No | 40 | 76.1¢ | $36 | — |
| argus-br0x6753…b37d | No | 37 | 67.7¢ | $34 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 299 | 27.2¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xf5e4…471a | Yes | 298 | 16.2¢ | $28 | — |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | 296 | 66.5¢ | $28 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| Schatzmat840x623a…5e86 | No | 27 | 73.8¢ | $25 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 282 bets |
| 0x441d…8f9c | No | 24 | 85.9¢ | $21 | New44 settled bets |
| goask0x1cea…f32a | Yes | 222 | 45.1¢ | $21 | — |
| stavr0x5c22…e4db | Yes | 200 | 11.5¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 151 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 20 | 42.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| DanBolla330x4934…6d71 | No | 18 | 56.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 1,356 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 163 | 12.4¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 125 | 18.6¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | No | 13 | 73.6¢ | $12 | — |
| Abladollosac0x3e98…5389 | No | 12 | 86.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$25.76 per $100 · 100 bets |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | No | 12 | 85.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Pilagi0x301f…3609 | No | 12 | 86.4¢ | $11 | — |
| Yuri777Snow0x3fb4…ee16 | Yes | 103 | 62.6¢ | $10 | — |
| G7-Lee0xb8b6…7fc8 | Yes | 98 | 31.3¢ | $9 | — |
| libratus10x28b2…eb4f | No | 10 | 74.0¢ | $9 | — |
| finencecryptoolha0xbb0f…2f40 | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $9 | — |
| As257340x6564…c864 | No | 8 | 80.6¢ | $7 | — |
| johngotti0xbbe0…bf14 | No | 8 | 38.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Biomaster0x4add…8cdf | No | 7 | 69.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 7 | 68.3¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 7 | 85.7¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | No | 7 | 78.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | Yes | 66 | 20.5¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 990 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 60 | 14.5¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Skraiko0xc24f…192d | Yes | 60 | 33.5¢ | $6 | — |
| ZliZliZli0xc067…de1d | Yes | 58 | 29.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x2e8f…5a92 | No | 6 | 83.6¢ | $5 | — |
| ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa00x825c…dfa0 | Yes | 54 | 24.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.56 per $100 · 164 bets |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | Yes | 54 | 24.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 10.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 50 | 11.4¢ | $5 | — |
| ZimmaBlue0xda08…0e21 | Yes | 50 | 27.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | No | 5 | 69.8¢ | $5 | — |
| wu-ma0x1383…69e7 | No | 5 | 78.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 5 | 41.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 45 | 25.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 44 | 31.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 37 | 24.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 37 | 14.1¢ | $3 | — |
| fififima920x0b7c…65bd | Yes | 36 | 28.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 35 | 19.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 30 | 29.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| flamencoflamingo0x4aca…d2ab | Yes | 25 | 13.6¢ | $2 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 16 | 42.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Zende0x43e1…5652 | Yes | 15 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ivanzolo20040x42fa…4c09 | Yes | 12 | 15.0¢ | $1 | New45 settled bets |
| GreySwansRecon0x5547…3d0c | Yes | 12 | 43.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.18 per $100 · 147 bets |
| Anti13370x6870…a01b | Yes | 12 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 12 | 56.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x8801…60b7 | Yes | 7 | 31.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Lussk0x062d…54ea | Yes | 5 | 19.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf6c6…150f | Yes | 5 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| siffy0xb7c7…b3bb | Yes | 5 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | 4 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Nish130x8342…66df | Yes | 3 | 32.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | 2 | 32.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.27 per $100 · 963 bets |
| 0xfcba…2398 | Yes | 2 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 20.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| R20t0xd0c8…e944 | Yes | 0 | 41.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 31.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 146 shares each side · Show
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