Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 09:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 1,447 | 85.0¢ | $1.39K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| UndecidedPerson0x6bed…b3c3 | No | 1,158 | 86.3¢ | $1.11K | New35 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | No | 666 | 93.3¢ | $640 | New6 settled bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 387 | 86.8¢ | $372 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,675 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 250 | 86.0¢ | $240 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 236 | 90.4¢ | $227 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,063 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 177 | 90.4¢ | $170 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 120 | 88.0¢ | $115 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 87 | 82.0¢ | $84 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | No | 68 | 79.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| 0x51bc…8946 | No | 65 | 95.4¢ | $62 | — |
| sugargosha0xdef3…f121 | No | 63 | 95.0¢ | $60 | — |
| huntlea0290x1b07…8e5e | No | 63 | 95.2¢ | $60 | New18 settled bets |
| dave.the-mechanic0xbbad…2270 | No | 56 | 95.2¢ | $54 | — |
| volnomuvolya105ukrf0x6a7a…2170 | No | 56 | 95.2¢ | $54 | — |
| yykuusikf0x305e…73a1 | No | 55 | 95.3¢ | $53 | — |
| chethyg0xe531…1808 | No | 55 | 95.3¢ | $52 | — |
| erjarob930x1f2f…59b1 | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | $48 | — |
| musyacat0xbc3e…77b1 | No | 38 | 96.0¢ | $36 | — |
| vickixrussell0xf91b…d0ac | No | 37 | 95.2¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x7631…8ae4 | No | 34 | 90.3¢ | $32 | — |
| kstc17a0x328b…fa07 | No | 32 | 90.0¢ | $31 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 30 | 89.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,418 bets |
| Berner890xafcb…0e9e | No | 30 | 88.0¢ | $29 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 95.5¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| alphanavy10xb7e7…11a3 | Yes | 654 | 13.8¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xf2b0…38ec | Yes | 600 | 14.0¢ | $23 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 592 | 11.9¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| DaddyCow0x219f…12d8 | No | 22 | 93.3¢ | $21 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x4b40…96e3 | Yes | 374 | 12.1¢ | $15 | — |
| eluser0x4ccb…fb67 | Yes | 300 | 14.0¢ | $12 | — |
| kanshifu0xc42f…78a0 | Yes | 298 | 15.3¢ | $12 | — |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 11 | 85.9¢ | $11 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 10 | 89.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.62 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| taemaxx0x37b2…8681 | Yes | 210 | 35.9¢ | $8 | — |
| AntanasJ0x80c7…f008 | Yes | 209 | 5.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ziggycross0xbf6f…4de7 | No | 8 | 86.0¢ | $8 | — |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | Yes | 200 | 21.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 2,799 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 200 | 13.0¢ | $8 | — |
| babykeno0x4c77…efd5 | Yes | 175 | 12.0¢ | $7 | — |
| DoomPosting-Enjoyer0x2a91…5267 | Yes | 148 | 16.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 6 | 88.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 9,827 bets |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 139 | 13.0¢ | $5 | — |
| KelseyGuzman25930x9464…b4cb | No | 5 | 60.0¢ | $5 | — |
| alphapres0xae5a…e2b0 | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| conherence0xfd59…0231 | Yes | 118 | 10.1¢ | $5 | — |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 106 | 22.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.37 per $100 · 113,391 bets |
| BOOMmk30x3114…4504 | Yes | 106 | 4.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xe795…0eaa | No | 4 | 86.0¢ | $4 | — |
| gpermanga0x0d4e…4ea4 | Yes | 100 | 17.0¢ | $4 | — |
| rageb0x40e9…8269 | Yes | 100 | 14.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x052e…a23f | Yes | 83 | 12.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$16.49 per $100 · 818 bets |
| 0xc063…b8f2 | Yes | 61 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| lovecraft-2250xdc4d…f2c9 | No | 2 | 87.0¢ | $2 | — |
| trenobal00x687b…400e | Yes | 52 | 57.5¢ | $2 | — |
| TheSuperCheiii0x2c6f…5ddf | Yes | 50 | 13.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Probettermedawg0x3718…d66f | Yes | 38 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 38 | 8.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,579+ bets · updating |
| dfgujfxiur0x646a…9230 | No | 1 | 76.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 30 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x3382…6fe3 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| david.craiggarcia0x66b5…db08 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xccb5…5a6e | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| wantbehappy0x56e8…a57c | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.74 per $100 · 240 bets |
| MumbaiProphet0x80e7…ad2a | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x09d7…a232 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x83b9…002d | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| DDABZ5ZD91102230xe5bd…4ba0 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 26 | 13.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x0cb5…31b0 | Yes | 25 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Elles0xfd1c…4c80 | Yes | 25 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Pengub0x3c69…4622 | Yes | 25 | 12.1¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa2f4…fc8b | Yes | 24 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Pozuelor0xa9cc…a8ae | Yes | 22 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| jimmyjohnjaam0xb57a…de13 | Yes | 22 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
| willytrades0xa986…2e4b | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| smarterstrat-junior0x1fe7…b685 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jokester4350x23a9…12f7 | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sizepls0xd950…c09f | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dera1x19270xdb73…5bbd | Yes | 17 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x22bf…8642 | Yes | 15 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GreenYoshi0xc8b2…7c84 | Yes | 15 | 30.2¢ | $1 | — |
| iamderkyi0x63dc…6839 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| JETarango0xca24…fc13 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| BlankBets0x1746…41ee | Yes | 9 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| misterwilly0x2d78…5b09 | Yes | 9 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.34 per $100 · 4,490 bets |
| marian19870x4875…c06b | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7a5d…0349 | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x99b4…5c38 | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x80fc…585c | Yes | 7 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| harishrajendra0x37a0…09bf | Yes | 7 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 1a10xa6df…baa2 | Yes | 7 | 14.4¢ | $0 | — |
| green90x6d79…ae69 | No | 0 | 68.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,166 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.98 per $100 · 51,555 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.