Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xde28…2115 | Yes | 800 | 61.3¢ | $524 | — |
| cezarn1320x5f17…519e | Yes | 739 | 68.7¢ | $484 | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 205 bets |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | No | 1,111 | 60.7¢ | $383 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| copefan0x9592…a85b | No | 500 | 37.0¢ | $172 | — |
| leectram20x0d4f…000e | Yes | 141 | 52.8¢ | $92 | Losing−$4.87 per $100 · 2,185 bets |
| predictiondiablo0xc9db…6789 | Yes | 128 | 10.4¢ | $84 | Proven+$6.48 per $100 · 9,516 bets |
| 0xbb08…639c | Yes | 125 | 92.4¢ | $82 | — |
| WifesDoubleDTrust0xc399…53ab | Yes | 108 | 85.9¢ | $71 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | No | 200 | 17.0¢ | $69 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 105 | 39.2¢ | $68 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 193 | 40.4¢ | $67 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Maxlesuisse20x3f3c…d708 | Yes | 48 | 63.9¢ | $31 | — |
| 0x0524…1479 | Yes | 45 | 71.2¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 10,876 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 65 | 13.0¢ | $22 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0x45e6…c078 | No | 60 | 38.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 50 | 39.0¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 3,292 bets |
| khkkv2330x287e…5252 | Yes | 23 | 65.9¢ | $15 | — |
| HououinKyouma0xf007…d2a4 | Yes | 16 | 62.6¢ | $11 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 30 | 40.7¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 41.4¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 23 | 39.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Jsvensson0xc63b…da3f | Yes | 10 | 55.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 40.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | 5 | 38.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.