China

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100.7¢ right now.

Decided by

The location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.§1

No meeting

If no qualifying meeting occurs during the market's timeframe, the market resolves to "No meeting by December 31".§2

Qualifying interaction

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction counts as a meeting.§4

Proximity only

Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being in the same room or event without direct interaction does not qualify.§5

Gulf states

Gulf states are the six Gulf Cooperation Council members: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates.§6

Counted

A meeting is any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.§3

Source

The primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.§7

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• China 76.5¢
• No meeting by December 31 19.0¢
• United States 1.6¢
• Other 1.2¢
• Gulf country 0.5¢
• Russia 0.5¢
• Turkey 0.4¢
• Switzerland 0.4¢
• Finland 0.2¢
• Other EU country 0.2¢
• Belarus 0.1¢
• South Korea 0.1¢

3 more outcomes in this event.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.