Market · 5 of 22 outcomes
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 65 | 95.4¢ | $64 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x9c2d…17d9 | No | 50 | 91.8¢ | $50 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 18 |
| 95.1¢ |
| $18 |
| Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| nnnow0x15c2…9c4a | No | 16 | 99.8¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xfac0…fdd8 | No | 12 | 84.2¢ | $12 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 2,805 | 1.6¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| 0x7b82…8d9f | No | 6 | 98.6¢ | $6 | — |
| elliot.0xbca7…87f6 | No | 6 | 89.4¢ | $6 | — |
| The-Grand-Wizrd0xd9eb…75ce | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Szatoshi0x2bef…3afd | Yes | 1,216 | 9.5¢ | $3 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 1,150 | 3.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 3 | 97.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 868 | 7.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 758 | 16.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 600 | 8.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 585 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 581 | 12.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 580 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 572 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| coolsage0xe07e…483e | No | 1 | 89.8¢ | $1 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 482 | 17.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Rocamado0x7be5…a53b | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 5,395 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 91.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 354 | 1.3¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | Yes | 313 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| 0x16c7…22cd | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 301 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| asasa10x2698…2941 | No | 1 | 77.4¢ | $1 | — |
| DarkFish0x87cb…6232 | Yes | 289 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 236 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 203 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x84b9…7f7f | No | 0 | 79.9¢ | $0 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 182 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 169 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| arbdiscovery0x1452…449c | Yes | 169 | 19.3¢ | $0 | — |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | Yes | 166 | 16.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| lorenzcurve0x1c13…c371 | Yes | 151 | 0.0¢ | $0 | New40 settled bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 148 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 127 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 125 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$60.11 per $100 · 7,837 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 101 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | Yes | 90 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Bikesarethebest0x0a6d…1d0a | No | 0 | 82.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.92 per $100 · 12,041 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 66 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 59 | 7.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| meow-1230x0739…aba8 | No | 0 | 92.5¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 50 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| UTILIZADOR20xba6c…618b | Yes | 50 | 33.2¢ | $0 | — |
| emapol20x9bcb…eefd | Yes | 42 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 40 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 34 | 10.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0xdfc1…818d | Yes | 29 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 4,377 bets |
| virgilia0x33c4…8ba3 | No | 0 | 88.9¢ | $0 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| drymoss0x6780…aedb | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
| headlag0x7637…543e | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PurpleGuy2280xa680…ee76 | No | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| losetkad0xee63…5d76 | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4850…ab3b | No | 0 | 87.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 16 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 13 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 12 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 12 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| 0x3052…0179 | Yes | 10 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7b1f…4a6b | No | 0 | 81.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9d1e…945e | Yes | 7 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 6 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ElectionBetter12340xb29a…ae79 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 2 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 6,270 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
|