Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 328 | 42.1¢ | $328 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 162 | 55.0¢ | $162 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 99 | 68.3¢ | $99 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | No | 60 | 29.0¢ | $60 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 49 | 41.2¢ | $49 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 40 | 99.2¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 99.1¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 25 | 45.7¢ | $25 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 14 | 95.1¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | No | 13 | 66.9¢ | $13 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| KINGSYK0xf1d2…c588 | No | 10 | 56.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xc794…5205 | No | 8 | 62.0¢ | $8 | — |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | No | 5 | 60.7¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,326 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 4 | 21.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,297 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| 30sdfdsf0xfdd1…1829 | No | 2 | 38.1¢ | $2 | — |
| PhilHawesLover0x6b3a…2841 | Yes | 773 | 51.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 9,505 bets |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 654 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Huye1680x4ae7…561f | Yes | 636 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$24.09 per $100 · 1,666 bets |
| Teo1230x0d76…8d46 | Yes | 575 | 33.3¢ | $1 | — |
| clanker690xeef4…a917 | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 506 | 78.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 1 | 46.0¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 391 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 378 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 18,514 bets |
| Dualtrol0x3493…40af | Yes | 321 | 50.5¢ | $0 | — |
| penguinec0xc33d…0d40 | Yes | 284 | 63.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 13,917 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 282 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 254 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 159,352+ bets · updating |
| MoranteDeLaPuebla0xf67c…44ad | Yes | 241 | 49.7¢ | $0 | — |
| TestRider0x095e…3373 | Yes | 230 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | No | 0 | 43.9¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | No | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc58a…b8f8 | Yes | 202 | 49.6¢ | $0 | — |
| predictiondiablo0xc9db…6789 | No | 0 | 21.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$6.48 per $100 · 9,516 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | Yes | 125 | 56.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 115 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 103 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| SapoRey0xc9a4…3926 | Yes | 96 | 63.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| chengyi16880xa5a6…d3ab | No | 0 | 48.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 73 | 11.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,825+ bets · updating |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 60 | 17.7¢ | $0 | — |
| miroshsa0x982c…0d6e | Yes | 42 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x837f…97a3 | Yes | 34 | 64.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 26 | 74.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | Yes | 23 | 38.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,113 bets |
| oneAce0x6727…5b6d | Yes | 22 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | No | 0 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.42 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| 0xe004…7849 | Yes | 16 | 45.4¢ | $0 | — |
| g341210x3c4a…0be9 | Yes | 11 | 43.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 316 bets |
| HULK0xb1a2…57fe | No | 0 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd074…5a54 | Yes | 10 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ElectionBetter12340xb29a…ae79 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 10 | 51.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 357 bets |
| tobycasp0xdbe6…e877 | Yes | 9 | 54.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa450…7a2a | Yes | 9 | 58.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x17fd…09bb | No | 0 | 61.3¢ | $0 | — |
| yakovizzy0xd7ae…c5cd | Yes | 7 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 63.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 46.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HarvinZest0x76b3…b93a | Yes | 6 | 64.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe010…5147 | Yes | 4 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | 4 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.04 per $100 · 2,556 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 3 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 58,105 bets |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 3 | 46.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 309 bets |
| asadsads0x9ae4…bfcb | Yes | 2 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| virtua0x61e9…425a | Yes | 2 | 38.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Spagball0xcfc6…6c6c | Yes | 2 | 60.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x73ac…4372 | Yes | 1 | 70.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.