Market · 67 of 71 outcomes
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 598 | 95.4¢ | $590 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 200 | 94.0¢ | $197 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| LatinaConqueror0x1d7c…51b6 | No | 101 | 95.2¢ | $100 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 619 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 41 | 90.4¢ | $40 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,368 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 260 | 6.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Rapsak0x2581…f1d5 | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 190 | 3.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 67 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 59 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 2.4¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 29 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 25 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| Copytrador0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | 22 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| upupupupordwn0x79e6…aaa1 | Yes | 19 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 14 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xf004…adaf | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bea…5fdf | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1cb5…2bd3 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x28d9…7bf6 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6198…a588 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x990d…db24 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa3a6…6350 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaa03…9fd0 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc81b…0b65 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc87e…175a | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd555…4b02 | Yes | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| eeeeeeret0x168f…9e00 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.