Market · 2 of 30 outcomes
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 2,513 | 94.5¢ | $2.39K | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,150 | 94.2¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| rustin1230x8c21…adaf | Yes | 11,932 | 3.7¢ | $567 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 508 | 94.5¢ | $484 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 93.6¢ | $476 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| AztecaBull0x1062…aea5 | No | 420 | 93.1¢ | $400 | New57 settled bets |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 416 | 96.1¢ | $397 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | 4,856 | 4.8¢ | $231 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 670 bets |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 200 | 94.9¢ | $191 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 200 | 91.5¢ | $191 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| Arif6680x121d…832a | Yes | 3,649 | 3.1¢ | $173 | — |
| 0x3e59…b2be | Yes | 3,643 | 5.5¢ | $173 | Losing−$22.45 per $100 · 1,060 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 2,759 | 2.6¢ | $131 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| AMGG19830x904d…7af2 | Yes | 2,722 | 5.0¢ | $129 | — |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 108 | 93.0¢ | $102 | Proven+$7.93 per $100 · 468 bets |
| dfgfdhgt60x0334…2c11 | No | 105 | 95.2¢ | $100 | — |
| stellalez1360x3bd1…4e2b | No | 103 | 98.5¢ | $99 | — |
| ritamargaritaoffic0xe837…0cfd | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $95 | — |
| reedreedlisa00a0x81ad…7cfa | No | 100 | 98.6¢ | $95 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 1,830 | 2.7¢ | $87 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| dddidit0xb3eb…fa72 | Yes | 1,730 | 5.8¢ | $82 | — |
| MaiP1200x2ce3…966b | Yes | 1,679 | 6.1¢ | $80 | — |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 1,626 | 10.3¢ | $77 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| milmol05550x59d4…efe2 | No | 79 | 94.9¢ | $76 | — |
| ProfitMuhammedPBUH0xae7c…487e | Yes | 1,521 | 2.1¢ | $72 | — |
| Yupionso0xe17f…9d41 | Yes | 1,516 | 6.6¢ | $72 | New76 settled bets |
| jjams0x49b0…efd5 | Yes | 1,445 | 4.0¢ | $69 | New10 settled bets |
| nergdnal0x7841…7db6 | Yes | 1,412 | 5.3¢ | $67 | — |
| Abir110x298f…1601 | Yes | 1,236 | 5.7¢ | $59 | New99 settled bets |
| nergnallh0x18b8…1a4c | Yes | 1,161 | 5.0¢ | $55 | — |
| lobsterpootapov0x9959…8539 | No | 58 | 95.3¢ | $55 | — |
| podvodka0x5ae7…848b | No | 57 | 96.0¢ | $54 | — |
| ms19100x154e…911f | No | 56 | 91.0¢ | $53 | — |
| EasyGoingA0xc390…2a1f | Yes | 1,116 | 3.2¢ | $53 | Proven+$13.15 per $100 · 320 bets |
| Luckwarmopportunity0x1fde…b559 | No | 55 | 97.8¢ | $52 | — |
| gwengar0x078c…a68a | No | 53 | 95.2¢ | $50 | — |
| driftun0xa4d2…a833 | No | 52 | 95.0¢ | $49 | — |
| Alla-h0x6236…4558 | No | 51 | 97.5¢ | $49 | — |
| faithful-0x6887…13f4 | No | 51 | 98.0¢ | $49 | — |
| Han636Len0xd54b…c312 | No | 51 | 96.0¢ | $48 | — |
| sofiatauris0x77f5…84bc | No | 50 | 97.2¢ | $48 | — |
| muhammed671gamez0x92e3…e820 | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $48 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 46 | 94.9¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 45 | 94.3¢ | $43 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| 0x9f4c…14dd | Yes | 887 | 5.7¢ | $42 | New75 settled bets |
| Polly670x364f…1515 | Yes | 861 | 2.2¢ | $41 | Losing−$25.47 per $100 · 122 bets |
| ghdisllkd0x3226…228c | No | 39 | 97.2¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xde4f…d013 | Yes | 765 | 9.8¢ | $36 | — |
| robertoo0xadaf…6eb9 | No | 33 | 92.3¢ | $31 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 626 | 4.8¢ | $30 | — |
| sdvwgw232qverw0x7ecd…d63f | No | 26 | 95.7¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x6c73…bf96 | Yes | 517 | 8.7¢ | $25 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 473 | 5.2¢ | $22 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| Artaius0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | 457 | 2.7¢ | $22 | — |
| TopNotch0xd765…4b8c | Yes | 440 | 2.3¢ | $21 | — |
| ernolst0x9b61…606f | Yes | 421 | 6.4¢ | $20 | — |
| Arif110xa55f…4f15 | Yes | 410 | 2.0¢ | $19 | — |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 400 | 1.9¢ | $19 | New71 settled bets |
| awWOW0x9a98…3984 | No | 19 | 98.3¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x3231…24ae | No | 18 | 97.7¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x1890…20eb | Yes | 334 | 3.0¢ | $16 | — |
| Dima790xdd5a…4d23 | Yes | 325 | 4.6¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 443 bets |
| BleatingWeasel0xb264…eb03 | Yes | 312 | 6.4¢ | $15 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $14 | — |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 300 | 7.6¢ | $14 | Proven+$12.29 per $100 · 3,032 bets |
| 0x6748…9265 | Yes | 287 | 5.2¢ | $14 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 282 | 3.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 280 | 3.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0x1e9f…bc49 | Yes | 252 | 7.9¢ | $12 | — |
| jerrylu0xe83a…944f | No | 13 | 89.4¢ | $12 | — |
| tomer4120x19bf…cd5f | Yes | 251 | 10.0¢ | $12 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 249 | 7.9¢ | $12 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 246 | 5.5¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| David47550x6dcf…18b9 | Yes | 222 | 13.5¢ | $11 | — |
| Simyi0x1e85…8aaa | Yes | 222 | 3.1¢ | $11 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 11 | 94.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| tryle0x43d3…ae2a | No | 11 | 95.1¢ | $10 | — |
| dfw450x8027…ce82 | No | 10 | 95.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Binarap0x2f93…7fa6 | No | 10 | 95.9¢ | $10 | — |
| sdw32430x56ee…37ff | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | — |
| T1m3chaser0xf1e2…0bd8 | Yes | 207 | 4.8¢ | $10 | New17 settled bets |
| zhusimajizjy0x92b6…ba97 | Yes | 207 | 9.7¢ | $10 | — |
| mali15850xb2b8…5466 | No | 10 | 97.4¢ | $10 | — |
| likich0x3306…2dc3 | No | 10 | 94.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $10 | — |
| asterley0xe762…064b | Yes | 191 | 8.3¢ | $9 | — |
| xdogetothemoonx0xaed5…bb6a | Yes | 185 | 4.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Chanania0x254d…a7ff | Yes | 182 | 5.5¢ | $9 | — |
| Jagernaut12330x63d8…c8f4 | Yes | 179 | 2.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Kicjoyuhefkuipu0xf835…8726 | No | 8 | 95.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x91c7…b576 | No | 7 | 95.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 584 bets |
| xianggu20x4e27…a66b | No | 7 | 0.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Jessica5620x8dd7…dd08 | No | 7 | 98.0¢ | $7 | — |
| SoftFinger0xfa88…8870 | No | 6 | 97.4¢ | $6 | — |
| Gr33d0x4b74…e8d7 | No | 6 | 93.5¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 4,685 bets |
| LongHai0x6184…5cc1 | No | 5 | 94.9¢ | $5 | — |
| df3340x86b6…da83 | No | 5 | 95.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 5 | 95.6¢ | $5 | — |
| JonesNoahav0xda99…17d6 | No | 5 | 96.2¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.