Market · 4 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 1,322 | 89.3¢ | $1.15K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 499 | 87.0¢ | $434 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| crossx0x976e…ecf3 | No | 216 | 85.6¢ | $188 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 184 | 87.5¢ | $160 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 992 | 18.8¢ | $129 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 140 | 87.4¢ | $122 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| Wetti640xa515…54d5 | No | 112 | 89.5¢ | $98 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 519 | 11.8¢ | $67 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 40 | 92.0¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 266 | 15.3¢ | $35 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| bobforsqa0xfa0c…d26c | No | 34 | 76.0¢ | $30 | — |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | Yes | 201 | 13.3¢ | $26 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 200 | 12.6¢ | $26 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| 0x0363…cac1 | No | 24 | 83.7¢ | $21 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 93.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 18 | 61.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 16 | 92.9¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 75 | 12.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| bugseeker0x3e26…3edf | Yes | 64 | 32.1¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x7d33…c15f | No | 9 | 89.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.65 per $100 · 579 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 57 | 18.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 57 | 23.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 48 | 9.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 47 | 10.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Poloren0x59f3…cc36 | No | 6 | 90.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x0dee…b7d2 | No | 5 | 76.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | Yes | 20 | 13.5¢ | $3 | — |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | No | 3 | 86.0¢ | $2 | — |
| VioletLong0x59d4…273b | No | 3 | 90.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x80c7…c281 | Yes | 15 | 26.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 15 | 9.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| Adalovelace0xd13f…16e4 | Yes | 13 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| MartySupreme1230x0b87…9414 | Yes | 9 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x188f…b075 | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9aa0…8779 | Yes | 6 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Niromero0xeb84…5685 | Yes | 6 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| snic0xfe4a…e5a9 | Yes | 6 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| banestow0x3080…337b | No | 1 | 73.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 4 | 11.7¢ | $0 | — |
| hr26g2re62de0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | 1 | 26.5¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | 1 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SRADGSAF0x3cbf…7007 | No | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | No | 0 | 70.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 679 bets |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 99cents0xd0bf…08f0 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 87.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 3ffef0x3cc3…084a | Yes | 0 | 13.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FELICIOLLI010xa2db…a60d | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| daviqq0xda20…cb8d | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Jeffersonczs0xfb11…7901 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| sjdcfgvjs0x8c38…a5a4 | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| sirmisterk0xa6b8…4bdf | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.