Market · 9 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 327 | 89.2¢ | $296 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 116 | 87.2¢ | $105 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 98 | 85.5¢ | $89 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | No | 65 | 75.1¢ | $59 | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 679 bets |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | No | 65 | 91.0¢ | $59 | — |
| punter900x2df3…f6be | No | 40 | 93.3¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 233 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 38 | 84.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 30 | 87.0¢ | $27 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 269 | 11.2¢ | $26 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 20 | 88.0¢ | $18 | — |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 134 | 8.6¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 93 | 12.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 54 | 12.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 13.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8f5b…8430 | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 45 | 7.7¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| howie.serious0xbe1c…49d4 | Yes | 26 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 23 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 20 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | No | 2 | 89.0¢ | $2 | — |
| littlebird0x202b…971a | Yes | 17 | 34.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8c07…2967 | Yes | 17 | 16.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6a68…1c2d | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x15e9…75af | Yes | 6 | 49.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0501…3416 | Yes | 5 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x04b5…5c12 | Yes | 2 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 2 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 2 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| JohnJJJ0x78d2…7a2b | Yes | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.59 per $100 · 9,894 bets |
| 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | 0 | 17.4¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-1-new0x7438…b741 | Yes | 0 | 26.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 44444444ben0xc876…8711 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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