Market · 9 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 898 | 91.2¢ | $813 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 280 | 36.3¢ | $253 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x0363…cac1 | No | 217 | 68.6¢ | $197 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 64 | 87.0¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 431 | 12.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 402 | 72.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 35 | 82.9¢ | $32 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 92.0¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 28 | 91.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | No | 17 | 56.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 151 | 9.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 107 | 7.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| 0x8c07…2967 | Yes | 100 | 26.1¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | 87 | 26.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 55 | 21.0¢ | $5 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 53 | 23.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,943 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 35 | 13.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 3 | 77.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | Yes | 32 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 30 | 21.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0xcfc4…7d85 | Yes | 23 | 22.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| VirtualGoon0x3436…c291 | Yes | 13 | 38.4¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 13 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| grimesmohammed0x3ed7…1fd9 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | New98 settled bets |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 10 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4793…527b | Yes | 10 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Niromero0xeb84…5685 | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 5 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | Yes | 4 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| snic0xfe4a…e5a9 | Yes | 3 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| banestow0x3080…337b | No | 0 | 73.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| 0x42f0…5101 | Yes | 3 | 75.7¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 2 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | 1 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 0 | 9.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 23.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.