Market · 2 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 2,835 | 78.2¢ | $2.17K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 1,154 | 73.5¢ | $883 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 2,539 | 30.3¢ | $597 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 507 | 35.0¢ | $119 | — |
| Success180x9c29…e1cc | No | 111 | 68.6¢ | $85 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 268 | 3.0¢ | $63 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 268 | 14.7¢ | $63 | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| crossx0x976e…ecf3 | No | 71 | 65.2¢ | $54 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 219 | 22.1¢ | $51 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | No | 67 | 75.3¢ | $51 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 199 | 29.5¢ | $47 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| 0xaA5467ECe5679fe98dfD1b9De3763B81C0a50x164b…8b5a | No | 55 | 73.8¢ | $42 | — |
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 48 | 60.6¢ | $37 | — |
| idl0x726c…6bfd | No | 45 | 65.0¢ | $34 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 40 | 77.0¢ | $31 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 6,486 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 125 | 2.0¢ | $29 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| WizhardofOddz0x500e…79d4 | Yes | 101 | 40.4¢ | $24 | New69 settled bets |
| banestow0x3080…337b | No | 30 | 72.1¢ | $23 | Losing−$20.78 per $100 · 492 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 29 | 76.5¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 90 | 22.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0x8c07…2967 | Yes | 81 | 20.9¢ | $19 | — |
| theresawright0x3731…02dd | No | 23 | 70.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $15 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x5c9a…fb12 | No | 20 | 81.6¢ | $15 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 19 | 59.5¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 55 | 1.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 54 | 21.5¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 46 | 21.7¢ | $11 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| 7figtc0x6a90…c2e3 | Yes | 43 | 31.0¢ | $10 | — |
| kdaniels0x6d30…e88f | No | 13 | 74.0¢ | $10 | — |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | Yes | 41 | 20.7¢ | $10 | — |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | No | 13 | 48.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | No | 12 | 61.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Rhythm-of-Fate0xfe9f…8e23 | Yes | 35 | 31.7¢ | $8 | — |
| m33zy0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | 34 | 23.0¢ | $8 | — |
| RITB1230x724d…8dea | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 70.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 62.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 73.0¢ | $8 | — |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | No | 10 | 82.2¢ | $8 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 62.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $8 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 51.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x785b…5c65 | No | 9 | 76.7¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | No | 8 | 78.7¢ | $6 | New34 settled bets |
| sleepylemur0x38e8…4275 | Yes | 21 | 18.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 6 | 80.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 5 | 70.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | No | 5 | 70.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 5 | 70.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x2f7c…208a | No | 4 | 75.0¢ | $3 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | No | 4 | 70.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Gundamn0x6d38…2104 | Yes | 12 | 43.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9468…74bc | Yes | 10 | 27.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6bb9…f64a | Yes | 10 | 20.6¢ | $2 | — |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | No | 3 | 69.1¢ | $2 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 7 | 23.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 2 | 80.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | No | 1 | 83.6¢ | $1 | — |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | No | 1 | 63.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| Serwe-9220xc423…ea98 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Imundi0x37e9…0d59 | Yes | 4 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hushglore0x9d5b…1465 | Yes | 3 | 32.9¢ | $1 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 3 | 34.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 3 | 31.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zhza0x69fb…8280 | Yes | 3 | 41.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rana2220x1302…e4b7 | Yes | 2 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 2 | 24.7¢ | $0 | — |
| gudangada0xa97d…6b13 | Yes | 2 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 2 | 26.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| snic0xfe4a…e5a9 | Yes | 1 | 78.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Niromero0xeb84…5685 | Yes | 1 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 1 | 30.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sadeyfcguewsF0x25ee…c896 | No | 0 | 52.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 1 | 26.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 1 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| dalishi0xde34…37e2 | Yes | 0 | 48.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 0 | 29.9¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 20.7¢ | $0 | — |
| nanioto0x53b3…7f9a | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 0 | 23.5¢ | $0 | — |
| gcjames0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | 0 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 15 shares each side · Show
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