Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 2,663 | 55.8¢ | $1.94K | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 911 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 530 | 35.0¢ | $387 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 234 | 34.1¢ | $171 | — |
| Underdarkus0xd03c…68cf | Yes | 224 | 54.0¢ | $164 | Losing−$5.26 per $100 · 106 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 155 | 36.0¢ | $113 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| FlashTradeOracle0xe196…0ab5 | Yes | 102 | 30.0¢ | $74 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 84 | 65.1¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| 0x0218…41ae | Yes | 65 | 39.5¢ | $48 | New92 settled bets |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 62 | 49.9¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 166 | 52.6¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| ThePokers0xcc3f…e0c1 | Yes | 57 | 36.2¢ | $42 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 51 | 55.8¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 47 | 25.0¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 108 | 25.8¢ | $29 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| snail750xa238…729c | Yes | 37 | 21.8¢ | $27 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | No | 100 | 65.0¢ | $27 | — |
| Eastassignment0xb8b0…1281 | Yes | 34 | 42.0¢ | $25 | — |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 30 | 67.1¢ | $22 | — |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 81 | 63.0¢ | $22 | — |
| fairyplatinum0xcd75…378e | Yes | 30 | 45.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 25 | 67.1¢ | $18 | — |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | No | 54 | 65.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 68.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| UTILIZADOR20xba6c…618b | No | 50 | 78.0¢ | $14 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 18 | 70.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Onswaggie0x9b08…4632 | Yes | 16 | 25.9¢ | $12 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 40 | 79.0¢ | $11 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 27.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| 1w5am5160ltg0x9e3c…4bde | Yes | 15 | 62.2¢ | $11 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 28.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x765f…1508 | Yes | 10 | 75.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.40 per $100 · 2,565 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 27 | 28.3¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 10 | 38.0¢ | $7 | New0 settled bets |
| martinzzz0x3581…9f2d | Yes | 10 | 39.2¢ | $7 | — |
| dixonmias0x3c1e…58fe | Yes | 10 | 44.2¢ | $7 | — |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | Yes | 10 | 60.0¢ | $7 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 25 | 65.4¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 8 | 25.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | No | 20 | 20.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$11.06 per $100 · 306 bets |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | No | 20 | 32.0¢ | $5 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 7 | 29.0¢ | $5 | — |
| PPMetaTest0x694a…ecf2 | No | 15 | 56.2¢ | $4 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 16.7¢ | $4 | — |
| citcap0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | 5 | 24.0¢ | $4 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 4 | 74.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0xd662…c9cf | No | 10 | 65.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 10 | 30.0¢ | $3 | — |
| KostiaV0x0f67…7ae7 | Yes | 3 | 34.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 3aJlyna4ec0x756f…cb55 | Yes | 3 | 34.1¢ | $2 | — |
| defiance-cr0xb84c…e169 | Yes | 3 | 23.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x29f0…b56f | No | 8 | 63.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4bfe…9257 | Yes | 3 | 39.2¢ | $2 | — |
| nonc0xf804…d2b7 | Yes | 2 | 43.2¢ | $2 | — |
| vale.glez0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | 2 | 44.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf08c…3295 | Yes | 2 | 70.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 5 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| pentacap0x34c1…8454 | No | 5 | 63.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 5 | 34.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 42ds0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | 2 | 34.2¢ | $1 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | No | 4 | 35.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| crescidentialsuite0xd25d…4540 | Yes | 1 | 74.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 3 | 57.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | No | 3 | 59.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 3 | 62.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | 1 | 34.0¢ | $1 | — |
| obscure10x8268…e7fd | No | 3 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.89 per $100 · 1,890 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,061 bets |
| 0x0306…a81e | Yes | 1 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 2 | 67.6¢ | $1 | — |
| A7zhejinian1230x85ef…5513 | Yes | 1 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 2 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | No | 1 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scenique0xd650…003d | Yes | 0 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | No | 1 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| henrikh0x59c1…67cc | No | 1 | 66.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 0 | 63.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | No | 0 | 65.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 55sfds0x2d21…6dfe | No | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mini-cF0xb714…18c9 | No | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | No | 0 | 73.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| nanioto0x53b3…7f9a | No | 0 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 19 shares each side · Show
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