Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan7770xb8e3…aaf2 | No | 124,898 | 79.0¢ | $121K | Proven+$3.69 per $100 · 210 bets |
| SwissMiss0xdbad…9c95 | No | 63,337 | 80.3¢ | $61.4K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| cqs0xdfe3…73c4 | No | 62,152 | 77.0¢ | $60.3K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 401 bets |
| momom0x3c8a…b45a | No | 60,227 | 82.5¢ | $58.4K | New43 settled bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No | 57,675 | 75.5¢ | $55.9K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 40,482 | 86.4¢ | $39.2K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| chriszyy30x052f…53fb | No | 36,922 | 86.8¢ | $35.8K | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 297 bets |
| BabyKangroo0xe3ae…440e | No | 33,227 | 66.1¢ | $32.2K | Proven+$4.11 per $100 · 131 bets |
| FootballFan980xc31d…4ebe | No | 29,011 | 85.5¢ | $28.1K | Losing−$4.03 per $100 · 289 bets |
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle0x020b…d13c | No | 25,000 | 78.0¢ | $24.2K | Positive+$1.19 per $100 · 172 bets |
| e888880x0d15…c454 | No | 18,161 | 80.5¢ | $17.6K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 167 bets |
| 0x5c6d…21c9 | No | 17,008 | 85.4¢ | $16.5K | New10 settled bets |
| chifangaoshou0xb120…fcfd | No | 17,000 | 84.6¢ | $16.5K | New14 settled bets |
| jackchen-cs0x1bad…63e9 | No | 16,301 | 88.0¢ | $15.8K | New12 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 14,246 | 84.5¢ | $13.8K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 13,835 | 90.0¢ | $13.4K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0xdamocles0xf5c4…0926 | No | 13,000 | 68.0¢ | $12.6K | Proven+$4.33 per $100 · 283 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 12,782 | 81.3¢ | $12.4K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | No | 9,319 | 70.2¢ | $9.04K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 8,931 | 90.2¢ | $8.66K | Proven+$7.93 per $100 · 468 bets |
| Cudnbdls0x9e55…17c0 | No | 7,605 | 83.0¢ | $7.37K | New15 settled bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 7,280 | 76.6¢ | $7.06K | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 622 bets |
| fedupferret0xfe23…937b | No | 7,193 | 78.0¢ | $6.97K | New67 settled bets |
| Redlu0x81e0…aff6 | No | 7,185 | 74.0¢ | $6.97K | New29 settled bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 7,000 | 87.0¢ | $6.79K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| 0x1104…7bab | No | 6,527 | 83.0¢ | $6.33K | New15 settled bets |
| Chinuita0xf4cc…571d | No | 6,345 | 71.0¢ | $6.15K | New33 settled bets |
| Maxtyt0xbd27…2807 | No | 5,865 | 83.3¢ | $5.69K | Losing−$12.41 per $100 · 164 bets |
| Anointed-Connect0x8f03…64d6 | No | 5,514 | 80.0¢ | $5.35K | Proven+$2.49 per $100 · 2,107 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 5,000 | 64.0¢ | $4.85K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| inventive0x7de7…a9c8 | No | 4,998 | 85.0¢ | $4.85K | New29 settled bets |
| Lord.Krulos0x7ed4…7759 | No | 4,868 | 81.1¢ | $4.72K | New68 settled bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | No | 4,807 | 75.2¢ | $4.66K | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| BamseOgKylling0xd9e7…4cde | No | 4,769 | 91.3¢ | $4.62K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 195 bets |
| GTOrski10xb3af…84fc | No | 4,661 | 83.1¢ | $4.52K | New31 settled bets |
| panzerdragoon0x37a1…b0c8 | No | 4,333 | 85.8¢ | $4.2K | New82 settled bets |
| Miojinho0x64db…8c8e | No | 4,024 | 82.0¢ | $3.9K | Positive+$14.57 per $100 · 185 bets |
| 0x26b2…4486 | No | 3,900 | 89.5¢ | $3.78K | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 308 bets |
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | Yes | 122,775 | 16.8¢ | $3.74K | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| SamibossOG0x5b03…79f6 | No | 3,500 | 84.0¢ | $3.39K | New6 settled bets |
| 0x4bd8…5c53 | No | 3,410 | 79.6¢ | $3.31K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 437 bets |
| believinginsomething0xd024…35c0 | No | 3,086 | 81.0¢ | $2.99K | New30 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 3,037 | 91.9¢ | $2.94K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | No | 2,748 | 78.0¢ | $2.66K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| fastviking0x8d0c…5839 | Yes | 85,859 | 18.3¢ | $2.62K | New71 settled bets |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | No | 2,570 | 78.0¢ | $2.49K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| linsen0x2be6…8ae5 | No | 2,500 | 89.7¢ | $2.42K | New6 settled bets |
| Odin.Valhal0xdd0d…17b6 | No | 2,500 | 86.9¢ | $2.42K | New79 settled bets |
| dwFqcd4Z0xe5c2…2ab0 | No | 2,472 | 67.0¢ | $2.4K | New88 settled bets |
| geeco0xbba5…d4a9 | No | 2,405 | 94.8¢ | $2.33K | New21 settled bets |
| MyDadsMoney0x3d18…1160 | No | 2,400 | 81.0¢ | $2.33K | New62 settled bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 2,000 | 95.0¢ | $1.94K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,242 bets |
| eisenpanzer0x13a0…100d | Yes | 46,289 | 27.9¢ | $1.41K | New0 settled bets |
| GuavaGuy0xfb6f…66dc | Yes | 40,000 | 23.5¢ | $1.22K | New1 settled bet |
| LongShortNeutral0x5967…22c6 | Yes | 32,737 | 21.9¢ | $998 | New16 settled bets |
| StasPanda0x7e5e…7315 | Yes | 25,000 | 23.2¢ | $763 | Losing−$5.33 per $100 · 1,249 bets |
| Aristocracy0x37b6…6457 | Yes | 23,299 | 16.5¢ | $711 | New39 settled bets |
| KaiserLeave0xde95…0f6f | Yes | 20,046 | 35.9¢ | $611 | New49 settled bets |
| 0x8629…b38d | Yes | 19,461 | 25.0¢ | $594 | New1 settled bet |
| 0xb9e9…e211 | Yes | 16,999 | 19.4¢ | $518 | New18 settled bets |
| Lxxxxx0xa3c6…0547 | Yes | 14,316 | 24.0¢ | $437 | New77 settled bets |
| 8570eF0BB7A2Be07D53F0xd833…df12 | Yes | 12,700 | 25.7¢ | $387 | New2 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 10,551 | 13.3¢ | $322 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0x3068…5c71 | Yes | 10,500 | 26.4¢ | $320 | New19 settled bets |
| 0x37ee…a516 | Yes | 10,207 | 22.0¢ | $311 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x10b3…40d4 | Yes | 10,000 | 35.0¢ | $305 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 678 bets |
| Snow-White0xa81e…03dc | Yes | 10,000 | 26.0¢ | $305 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 1,019 bets |
| ImmenseAngel51060x7ff5…18a8 | Yes | 10,000 | 22.9¢ | $305 | New0 settled bets |
| ShayaEredyon0xcd09…da63 | Yes | 9,494 | 18.6¢ | $290 | New83 settled bets |
| 0x98d1…1d6e | Yes | 9,396 | 18.7¢ | $287 | New9 settled bets |
| tbjmx7770x478f…f5d9 | Yes | 8,627 | 23.3¢ | $263 | Losing−$6.86 per $100 · 407 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 7,500 | 16.0¢ | $229 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| hippo10xa54b…48f3 | Yes | 5,600 | 21.3¢ | $171 | New11 settled bets |
| MPIL0xfc08…6be7 | Yes | 5,486 | 18.7¢ | $167 | New82 settled bets |
| po20x872c…eab4 | Yes | 5,357 | 28.0¢ | $163 | New12 settled bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 5,000 | 3.0¢ | $153 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| keasiyo0xee67…ef38 | Yes | 4,781 | 25.0¢ | $146 | Proven+$11.82 per $100 · 292 bets |
| Frankley0x0c85…9839 | Yes | 4,762 | 21.0¢ | $145 | New5 settled bets |
| 0x40e1…973f | Yes | 4,762 | 21.0¢ | $145 | New15 settled bets |
| JimJax0x3dfb…0a88 | Yes | 4,323 | 23.1¢ | $132 | Losing−$9.61 per $100 · 232 bets |
| Tsm9990xaadc…4925 | Yes | 4,000 | 25.0¢ | $122 | New43 settled bets |
| chil9990xaf84…703c | Yes | 3,831 | 22.3¢ | $117 | Break-even−$0.55 per $100 · 125 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 3,747 | 18.4¢ | $114 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 3,625 | 3.6¢ | $111 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| 0x2e4b…83e2 | Yes | 3,370 | 22.3¢ | $103 | Losing−$4.84 per $100 · 171 bets |
| alphatron30x8115…c789 | Yes | 3,333 | 6.0¢ | $102 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xc38b…d8a0 | Yes | 3,272 | 25.8¢ | $100 | Losing−$3.21 per $100 · 133 bets |
| carmenqueasy0x9320…f7d7 | Yes | 3,138 | 15.6¢ | $96 | Proven+$10.55 per $100 · 200 bets |
| Swissmisss0x1917…88b3 | Yes | 3,127 | 35.5¢ | $95 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xb683…7d0a | Yes | 3,049 | 21.3¢ | $93 | New0 settled bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 3,031 | 11.7¢ | $92 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| willsom0xaa99…dbbf | Yes | 3,000 | 18.9¢ | $92 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 782 bets |
| 0x41d5…ed8d | Yes | 2,937 | 24.0¢ | $90 | New0 settled bets |
| bbttyl0x40f8…4248 | Yes | 2,922 | 18.0¢ | $89 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x8d03…af4d | Yes | 2,824 | 20.5¢ | $86 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x3ec5…058e | Yes | 2,700 | 22.0¢ | $82 | New0 settled bets |
| MissWonderfun0x7170…0534 | Yes | 2,508 | 14.1¢ | $76 | New84 settled bets |
| Fiskantes0x612a…fee9 | Yes | 2,500 | 16.0¢ | $76 | New60 settled bets |
| supnick0xd264…b736 | Yes | 2,437 | 31.6¢ | $74 | New2 settled bets |
| DragonEU0xa316…1d36 | Yes | 2,381 | 21.0¢ | $73 | New4 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.