Market · 12 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 96.1¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,038 bets |
| resilience260x16da…05c0 | Yes | 134 | 2.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 6.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 87 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| Flinken0x4050…32f3 | Yes | 57 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 57 | 6.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AlexielLucifen0x53a6…b412 | Yes | 41 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | Yes | 11 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,238 bets |
| General0xc613…c749 | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| oatwa0xcdd3…8125 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.