Market · 13 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| borafv0x1c84…925f | No | 70 | 97.8¢ | $70 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 81.5¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 70.9¢ | $23 | — |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 7,166 | 0.6¢ | $18 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 9 | 82.3¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Burge0x1506…ca77 | Yes | 3,146 | 3.9¢ | $8 | — |
| GamblingEnjoyer0x55d8…0cf5 | Yes | 2,594 | 5.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.93 per $100 · 152 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | Yes | 2,196 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 5 | 68.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 4 | 71.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| dif6680xf43c…df68 | No | 3 | 93.0¢ | $3 | — |
| edgarzaq0xbc94…452f | No | 3 | 96.5¢ | $3 | — |
| knock78890xa007…95cd | No | 3 | 95.4¢ | $3 | — |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 1,074 | 3.5¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 1,042 | 31.2¢ | $3 | New77 settled bets |
| GrandNegroniSlurpClub0x0325…16e7 | Yes | 769 | 4.6¢ | $2 | New99 settled bets |
| begen0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | 684 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 606 | 4.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 527 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$39.17 per $100 · 1,741 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 466 | 3.6¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 1 | 92.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 1 | 95.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Red-bluedegen0xd7ba…76ca | Yes | 331 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 315 | 4.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 308 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 267 | 10.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 254 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 248 | 5.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 173 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| carpe-noctem0x596a…7a0f | Yes | 170 | 17.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 161 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| 0x06d8…9446 | Yes | 150 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1abc…45e7 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Brianm0xa8da…d488 | Yes | 126 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| MemeLoverOfficial0x5d55…7cba | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$40.29 per $100 · 15,876 bets |
| Pahalde0xd678…f49b | Yes | 120 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 118 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1d36…2a3b | Yes | 100 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 95 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| wtfsss0x472c…9c3d | Yes | 88 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 86 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 75 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Saurix10xbebe…ad8e | Yes | 63 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 62 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 60 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 58 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 55 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 50 | 6.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 47 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 43 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 37 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,031 bets |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 36 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ExpectTheUnexpected0x6368…eea5 | No | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 32 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 30 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| gaskan0x4618…8d41 | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 25 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| EirikL0xb834…7e1d | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0e4…7d60 | Yes | 21 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 21 | 13.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 20 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| quiddy0x5562…3b41 | Yes | 14 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| xykj10x3908…d10e | No | 0 | 97.9¢ | $0 | — |
| victoria.evergarden0x5935…6ff2 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| wulitaotao0x4169…98e9 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nhadap0x4232…4159 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| sprucegoose10x2ab6…c8a8 | No | 0 | 91.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ToastedSocks0x1d18…a9c2 | No | 0 | 95.4¢ | $0 | — |
| stupidestmoney0xe5ce…7f3f | No | 0 | 94.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.