Market · 15 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.1¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| AlexielLucifen0x53a6…b412 | Yes | 214 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 100 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 65 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Flinken0x4050…32f3 | Yes | 23 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 17 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,592+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 14 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 12 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 11 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,848 bets |
| risknot30x61f2…e2ae | Yes | 8 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,031 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,898 bets |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 2 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.