Market · 15 of 15 outcomes
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.6¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,913 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 23 | 99.7¢ | $23 | — |
| 125-kooyanisqatsi0x4501…39d7 | Yes | 6,039 | 0.5¢ | $12 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 9 | 99.4¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 50,803 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,753 | 0.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| truyjgf0xf7f4…335b | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| yuklob0x21cc…c412 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 2,087 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 1,744 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe3a7…0c0e | Yes | 1,445 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 1,250 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 2 | 99.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 964 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 714 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0xbe37…77c8 | Yes | 600 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x85be…fe8b | Yes | 579 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 471 | 3.6¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 312 | 5.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 300 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 259 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Mustwiner0xf40f…e473 | Yes | 250 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| MHD19970xfad4…a7f1 | Yes | 240 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1d36…2a3b | Yes | 223 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 217 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,206 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 207 | 5.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,079 bets |
| EirikL0xb834…7e1d | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x06d8…9446 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 149 | 6.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| 0xbbc0…10d2 | Yes | 147 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbf4…4a70 | Yes | 143 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Rubic0070x486e…5534 | Yes | 129 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$78.50 per $100 · 822 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 109 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 109 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| wozaitaibei0xdad7…005a | Yes | 95 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 90 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| wtfsss0x472c…9c3d | Yes | 88 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Oceangiraffe0x454a…ef15 | Yes | 76 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 75 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| Vital8390x7dab…7227 | Yes | 58 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 10KPnl0x8646…ed78 | Yes | 52 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| gramirot0xac89…7096 | Yes | 51 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| tiancs0x8301…3bdc | Yes | 50 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Carpetalmost0x4fdf…94b7 | Yes | 46 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 45 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 43 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Specialist2003030xfad9…f138 | Yes | 41 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 33 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 32 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 25 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 25 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| quiddy0x5562…3b41 | Yes | 24 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | 9 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| nhadap0x4232…4159 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 88888stupidmoney0x458c…c504 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 4,914 bets |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.