Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pollybond0x224d…e0e7 | No | 13,492 | 76.8¢ | $12.1K | New16 settled bets |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No | 6,096 | 87.5¢ | $5.46K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 5,624 | 86.0¢ | $5.03K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,107 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 3,906 | 81.0¢ | $3.5K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 2,857 | 83.0¢ | $2.56K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 1,530 | 84.6¢ | $1.37K | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,719 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 12,410 | 29.8¢ | $1.3K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| flexibleagedbeef0xbbc5…b08b | No | 1,362 | 90.0¢ | $1.22K | — |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 10,733 | 15.8¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 700 | 73.6¢ | $626 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 633 | 74.5¢ | $567 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,976 bets |
| mm4ker0x8c57…f939 | No | 445 | 44.9¢ | $399 | Proven+$4.56 per $100 · 367 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 400 | 78.0¢ | $358 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Liamsassd0xf950…929d | No | 352 | 85.0¢ | $315 | — |
| 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | 2,852 | 35.1¢ | $299 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 265 bets |
| Sophihh0xebb1…7465 | No | 333 | 85.0¢ | $298 | — |
| Noahsss0x3aaf…9146 | No | 320 | 85.0¢ | $286 | — |
| Oliveryui0x8b6f…216e | No | 313 | 85.0¢ | $280 | — |
| AlexanderGHS0x110a…d6a7 | No | 307 | 85.0¢ | $275 | — |
| dashenga0xd782…2776 | No | 299 | 85.0¢ | $268 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 293 | 72.0¢ | $262 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Bravo4140xcd96…9ee4 | No | 290 | 69.1¢ | $259 | Proven+$10.64 per $100 · 153 bets |
| noib0x187f…5fee | Yes | 2,374 | 9.4¢ | $249 | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 215 bets |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 256 | 85.0¢ | $229 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| Sophiaqd0x3a58…612f | Yes | 1,924 | 15.0¢ | $202 | — |
| 0x0cca…700f | No | 219 | 79.4¢ | $196 | New40 settled bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 1,629 | 22.0¢ | $171 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| 0x0cf2…6751 | No | 183 | 60.0¢ | $164 | — |
| 0xd8fa…581f | No | 173 | 72.2¢ | $154 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 161 | 74.0¢ | $144 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | No | 155 | 80.0¢ | $139 | — |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | No | 147 | 78.0¢ | $132 | — |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 135 | 89.3¢ | $121 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,076 | 19.3¢ | $113 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 1,000 | 21.0¢ | $105 | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| Performance0x17c1…3799 | Yes | 1,000 | 14.0¢ | $105 | New22 settled bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | Yes | 1,000 | 27.2¢ | $105 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| 0xc10b…e3e0 | No | 115 | 87.0¢ | $103 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 100 | 86.0¢ | $90 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 100 | 89.0¢ | $90 | New18 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 96 | 78.2¢ | $86 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,079 bets |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | No | 75 | 44.7¢ | $67 | Losing−$22.90 per $100 · 365 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 617 | 19.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 572 | 12.9¢ | $60 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 64 | 76.7¢ | $57 | — |
| 0xf9f0…fcc4 | Yes | 500 | 34.0¢ | $52 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 50 | 86.0¢ | $45 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 44 | 90.1¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 632 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 350 | 11.2¢ | $37 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 0x2712…eb71 | No | 40 | 60.0¢ | $36 | — |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 317 | 39.0¢ | $33 | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 300 | 21.0¢ | $32 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 35 | 86.0¢ | $31 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 524 bets |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | Yes | 297 | 17.5¢ | $31 | Losing−$12.55 per $100 · 4,926 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 30 | 87.0¢ | $27 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| Airmax880x7106…1caa | No | 28 | 88.0¢ | $25 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 216 | 26.4¢ | $23 | — |
| Ditto3210x30c1…9f91 | Yes | 216 | 26.0¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 632 bets |
| memorymaker20490x9259…c2d3 | No | 25 | 77.0¢ | $22 | — |
| proofofsteak0x4f40…a69c | No | 24 | 89.1¢ | $21 | — |
| Mitakaasa70x6312…f94e | Yes | 200 | 20.5¢ | $21 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | Yes | 200 | 35.0¢ | $21 | — |
| squirtdirty0x2953…2ed5 | Yes | 200 | 35.0¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x89c1…6790 | No | 23 | 87.4¢ | $20 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 23 | 88.0¢ | $20 | New42 settled bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 189 | 13.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0xca08…c267 | Yes | 187 | 32.9¢ | $20 | — |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | No | 20 | 76.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| PrinceENI0x52bf…e0ec | No | 20 | 76.0¢ | $18 | — |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 71.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 168 | 13.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 166 | 27.0¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | No | 19 | 82.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | Yes | 160 | 54.0¢ | $17 | — |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 19 | 70.4¢ | $17 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 155 | 12.3¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| ninasimon0x655e…e0cc | Yes | 147 | 33.3¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.10 per $100 · 238 bets |
| 0x7f6d…f6f6 | Yes | 104 | 21.1¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 273 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 101 | 12.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Wunkles0xa9f2…6c8e | Yes | 86 | 29.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.09 per $100 · 630 bets |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | No | 9 | 82.8¢ | $8 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 74 | 12.9¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 61 | 17.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 60 | 12.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| 0x3b25…c15a | Yes | 55 | 35.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd11d…ce2c | Yes | 45 | 22.2¢ | $5 | — |
| xdfb60x814a…ab7a | Yes | 40 | 52.5¢ | $4 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 37 | 14.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 74-750x7803…b7d2 | Yes | 34 | 19.0¢ | $4 | New58 settled bets |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 30 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 29 | 23.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 24 | 21.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | No | 3 | 74.6¢ | $2 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | Yes | 20 | 53.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xaf75…7e1b | Yes | 20 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| qwe2330xb3d7…3377 | Yes | 20 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 536 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 16 | 16.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.