Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ggoodd55660x845e…39e6 | No | 43 | 99.6¢ | $43 | — |
| lucky777340x4950…6a30 | No | 34 | 99.6¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x5986…83e3 | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $20 | — |
| gjfhfg0x2d8f…5706 | No | 6 | 99.6¢ | $6 | — |
| jghjt867560x4f0f…2f4f | No | 6 | 99.6¢ | $6 | — |
| amondevil0xcd47…acdd | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | — |
| JuanDiMabili0x9d2e…ff2c | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Mitherandir0xd990…4349 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| kl04140x51ea…88a6 | Yes | 3,773 | 0.2¢ | $2 | New2 settled bets |
| AmarPitta63rRa0x90ba…b806 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,713 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,314 | 3.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 58,058 bets |
| linux.xx10xc8a0…5cc4 | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| drakelover0x0f38…ff4f | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,459 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,638 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,322 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 1,255 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.72 per $100 · 12,552 bets |
| sear.pm0xc677…5a75 | Yes | 1,000 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 1,000 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.68 per $100 · 17,799 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 983 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,038 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 937 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| katakuri.alan0x8510…765e | Yes | 840 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 819 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 762 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 617 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 538 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 528 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| jasonLi180330x2e59…db11 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 408 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 350 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 333 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.82 per $100 · 8,696 bets |
| akla270x5993…a32d | Yes | 329 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$26.45 per $100 · 461 bets |
| Bdegen8880x5949…5fc4 | Yes | 269 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 262 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,328 bets |
| xamel270x242c…fbe8 | Yes | 234 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$23.27 per $100 · 291 bets |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 156 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.14 per $100 · 20,709 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 130 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 9,382 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 129 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,238 bets |
| sdfsd2130xf06d…26f7 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Trilannon0x528b…62e9 | Yes | 119 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Autotrading-Bot-For-Rare-Events0x49ce…b528 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lin202610x3a22…7407 | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$25.16 per $100 · 410 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| zerone7770xe949…dea6 | Yes | 78 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$22.86 per $100 · 739 bets |
| braveclaw0xe1c6…dd66 | Yes | 63 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| whatthedogdoing0xe1ec…831b | Yes | 61 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 60 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Butragueno0xeb71…41f9 | Yes | 60 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 51 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 51 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| OnlyNONO0x3ef9…297c | Yes | 50 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x42ca…8380 | Yes | 43 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.09 per $100 · 444 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 40 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 40 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 33 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 25 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,976 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 24 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 24 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,301 bets |
| lidongyao0xb25b…a166 | Yes | 20 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| trader-497856a10x4978…a5b2 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.