Market · 9 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 1,286 | 98.6¢ | $1.28K | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 24,435 bets |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 75 | 99.1¢ | $75 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,982 bets |
| lyvan120x009a…11d0 | No | 25 | 99.8¢ | $25 | — |
| hothao120x1ac6…c71b | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| hoangbao48290x49a2…4ecb | No | 23 | 99.8¢ | $23 | — |
| ldadftdrujfdghdsryhdfhdrhdrhfdht1490x5af8…2e62 | No | 23 | 99.8¢ | $23 | — |
| vly760xbc3d…4fe0 | No | 23 | 99.8¢ | $23 | — |
| luc1490xe844…515e | No | 23 | 99.9¢ | $23 | — |
| bao760xc569…2c23 | No | 22 | 99.9¢ | $22 | — |
| tta1490x3bf7…984d | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | — |
| truongtan760xbcf9…3720 | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xb93f…40d4 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| sfsdfssda0xf9e8…f505 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 1,302 | 4.3¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 23,479 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 630 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,360 bets |
| 255yfyui0xcd95…c767 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | Yes | 266 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| arsan0x8856…3f5b | Yes | 81 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| nothing-to-lose0xd097…60b0 | Yes | 65 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 13 · 204 events · $147K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.