Market
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| averagerandomman0x8970…36b5 | Yes | 2,526 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.30 per $100 · 23,353 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 585 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| 0x8904…71cd | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 374 | 8.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,313 bets |
| woshisb0x295f…4edb | Yes | 369 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 265 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.