82,000-84,000

Decided by

The final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 ET on the date in the title.§1

Between two brackets

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket.§4

Otherwise No

Otherwise, the market resolves to "No".§2

Counted

The BTC/USDT "Close" price from the Binance 1 minute candle at 12:00 ET on the date in the title.§1

Source

Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected.§3

Closes

Oct 14, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• 80,000-82,000 38.5¢
• 82,000-84,000 28.5¢
• 78,000-80,000 19.1¢
• 84,000-86,000 9.0¢
• 76,000-78,000 5.3¢
• 86,000-88,000 4.2¢
• 88,000-90,000 2.0¢
• 90,000-92,000 1.5¢
• 74,000-76,000 0.7¢
• <74,000 0.4¢
• >92,000 0.4¢

These 11 outcomes add up to 109.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 109.3¢ right now.