Market · 10 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 1,470 | 97.0¢ | $1.44K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| CastleRock0xfb64…eb56 | No | 1,045 | 97.8¢ | $1.02K | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 743 | 95.1¢ | $727 | — |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 250 | 97.6¢ | $245 | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 155 | 97.2¢ | $151 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| xinyuan0x52ee…2f52 | No | 133 | 96.6¢ | $131 | New55 settled bets |
| fgtjui0xca4d…f59a | No | 123 | 96.4¢ | $120 | — |
| hottalk0x3811…b304 | No | 88 | 97.0¢ | $86 | New25 settled bets |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 2,975 | 3.1¢ | $62 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| goobdoy0xab6d…30ee | No | 56 | 97.3¢ | $54 | — |
| rageiternal0xe234…aa6a | No | 53 | 97.3¢ | $52 | — |
| marcelllllllllllllll0xa6d9…3c37 | No | 50 | 96.8¢ | $49 | — |
| soldaten0x4c01…0b7a | No | 50 | 97.3¢ | $49 | — |
| cornishon10xd990…749e | No | 49 | 96.3¢ | $48 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 40 | 97.5¢ | $39 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 40 | 96.8¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| liveman0x425b…b6c4 | No | 35 | 96.6¢ | $34 | New86 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 27 | 97.7¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| 0xf518…31d5 | No | 26 | 96.1¢ | $25 | — |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 25 | 97.0¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | No | 25 | 93.2¢ | $24 | — |
| ppppppqqqqqqq0x5668…54bc | No | 20 | 98.4¢ | $20 | — |
| vbgghk0x9772…e752 | No | 15 | 96.6¢ | $14 | — |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 13 | 97.0¢ | $12 | — |
| we22340x0af9…7ef7 | No | 12 | 96.5¢ | $12 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 10 | 97.2¢ | $10 | — |
| jiayiliang0xf67b…da50 | No | 10 | 96.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Omimp0x2c3d…6e0f | No | 6 | 96.5¢ | $6 | New30 settled bets |
| 0x1ced…4c9b | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| tuya440x4c04…2470 | No | 4 | 98.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Strumer0x6e04…70ae | No | 4 | 99.1¢ | $4 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 185 | 3.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| dokan0xd3fc…78fc | Yes | 167 | 3.0¢ | $4 | — |
| MRTGHTYT0xc91c…f09b | No | 3 | 97.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x572c…4360 | No | 3 | 98.3¢ | $3 | — |
| lpjuf0xdd6a…0ffd | No | 3 | 98.5¢ | $3 | — |
| AllenAdam0xfb5e…1406 | No | 3 | 97.6¢ | $3 | — |
| HughesDaniela0xe114…0098 | No | 2 | 97.5¢ | $2 | — |
| WhiteThomasa0x303a…6988 | No | 2 | 97.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2a5b…b78b | No | 2 | 98.3¢ | $2 | — |
| BirdEzra0xe3ea…3c70 | No | 2 | 97.6¢ | $2 | — |
| AlvarezGrayson0x7089…fdf1 | No | 2 | 97.6¢ | $2 | — |
| dangerous10x11a0…cb7e | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 122 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 89 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| underwaterdrool0x8289…6194 | Yes | 83 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2e06…4aa7 | Yes | 70 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| KimMilo0x0a25…2438 | No | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 65 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 64 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 60 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 59 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Smilyx0x67e2…9952 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfef3…070e | Yes | 55 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| SwerFifa0xa8d6…6b78 | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | — |
| MaveRickFromUS0x72ed…93d4 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| sylee10x7d82…1263 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Hdhdh470xe456…b323 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| papayonci0x0e45…ae93 | No | 1 | 96.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 711 bets |
| 1satoshi0xf949…c9f1 | No | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | — |
| daniadri0x04b2…e801 | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x30f7…f224 | No | 1 | 81.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Teufel-IX0x5955…740b | Yes | 39 | 2.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Daanf5670x1be8…6626 | Yes | 36 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 33 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| p3eFbv0H3b0x0603…8f62 | Yes | 32 | 6.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc2a1…5584 | Yes | 28 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3dc9…6d17 | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7610…cd8f | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9234…7424 | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa14f…74e0 | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc595…ba67 | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe03e…c0a1 | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf245…80a0 | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x15a9…3c53 | Yes | 26 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcbfd…37c5 | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x11ad…67bf | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f46…9497 | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2265…0f00 | Yes | 25 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5265…5333 | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7985…e14b | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb24c…8468 | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcb1e…1a23 | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 24 | 6.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| destropyer0x363c…4463 | Yes | 20 | 11.7¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 20 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 15 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 14 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x96c5…eea0 | Yes | 14 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa36f…888d | Yes | 13 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4570…01c1 | Yes | 8 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 8 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 4 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| orin400xd493…7f04 | Yes | 1 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | Yes | 1 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| StarryPath0x55b4…80ea | Yes | 0 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.69 per $100 · 2,780 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.