Market · 4 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 1,307 | 97.0¢ | $1.27K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 284 | 97.8¢ | $275 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| ab54545ba0xd0de…2ef6 | No | 97 | 97.1¢ | $94 | — |
| CastleRock0xfb64…eb56 | No | 79 | 97.7¢ | $77 | — |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 70 | 96.7¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 40 | 96.1¢ | $39 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| Strumer0x6e04…70ae | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 476 | 2.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| bazzaloing0x29a5…7752 | No | 15 | 97.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.26 per $100 · 2,716 bets |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 15 | 97.0¢ | $15 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | Yes | 373 | 4.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x80fc…585c | No | 10 | 95.9¢ | $10 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 237 | 3.6¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Utres50x2402…079e | No | 5 | 97.3¢ | $5 | — |
| lastdance40xd945…7112 | No | 5 | 97.4¢ | $5 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 5 | 97.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | 130 | 3.1¢ | $4 | New34 settled bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 125 | 2.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x572c…4360 | No | 3 | 98.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.88 per $100 · 785 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 89 | 2.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 71 | 2.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| papayonci0x0e45…ae93 | No | 2 | 93.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 711 bets |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 2 | 97.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
| MarkWebb0xb38d…3820 | No | 2 | 97.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 52 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 44 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| shwanhk1230x5309…4c9c | Yes | 43 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ChairmanFed0x8369…f584 | Yes | 41 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$23.92 per $100 · 794 bets |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 40 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 38 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Daanf5670x1be8…6626 | Yes | 33 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 11xBbF0xbbf2…43c6 | Yes | 26 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 25 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| snic0xfe4a…e5a9 | Yes | 20 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0c67…1142 | Yes | 19 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| nagletti0x5b5c…45f4 | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 10 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 9 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 8 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4473…6c6e | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9909…d1bd | Yes | 5 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 3 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 2 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Oldfarm0x510b…da8d | Yes | 1 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | Yes | 1 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 1 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| Chrissistar040xf86c…ba99 | Yes | 1 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 1 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| miazagsc0xd517…382d | Yes | 1 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| omnibus-6c8b150x6c8b…645c | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.84 per $100 · 4,806 bets |
| 0x690a…2ea7 | Yes | 0 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 0 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | Yes | 0 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.