Market · 3 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 969 | 94.3¢ | $925 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| hgamezoon0x82e9…b34c | No | 500 | 95.2¢ | $477 | New4 settled bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 179 | 96.7¢ | $171 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | No | 177 | 89.1¢ | $169 | — |
| CastleRock0xfb64…eb56 | No | 141 | 96.7¢ | $135 | — |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 138 | 94.4¢ | $132 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 110 | 45.5¢ | $105 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| GigaLover0x6af4…34aa | No | 58 | 97.2¢ | $55 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 30 | 94.7¢ | $29 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| positiveinvalid0x5a0d…3078 | No | 29 | 97.2¢ | $28 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 24 | 97.2¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| neilarajesh0x0d9d…78a9 | No | 16 | 96.1¢ | $16 | — |
| Obiviouslynotaninsider0x6735…f5b7 | Yes | 324 | 4.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 521 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 248 | 3.6¢ | $11 | — |
| papayonci0x0e45…ae93 | No | 11 | 92.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 711 bets |
| polikstoproc0xb016…95fd | Yes | 175 | 11.2¢ | $8 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 148 | 6.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| illeron0xb89d…a7d7 | No | 6 | 95.0¢ | $6 | — |
| sourgum0x36ab…5a24 | No | 6 | 96.9¢ | $5 | — |
| dazix0x8740…048d | No | 6 | 96.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ciastoyatb0xc9bf…256e | No | 5 | 96.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 105 | 4.0¢ | $5 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 5 | 95.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| 0xd684…94c0 | Yes | 96 | 3.1¢ | $4 | — |
| welcometohell0x4c8b…1614 | Yes | 65 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 55 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 47 | 6.6¢ | $2 | — |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
| ScottZacharyq0xf0ba…0b17 | No | 2 | 97.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 36 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | 34 | 4.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xed5b…8e60 | Yes | 31 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| shwanhk1230x5309…4c9c | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| yeeKayne0xa212…f309 | No | 1 | 96.4¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0x01ec…7031 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1947…f00a | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f73…1197 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1ffa…2b77 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x27b0…e2c0 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2833…4a35 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2a14…41d5 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2bff…f095 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2e2d…d17e | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x368e…eb93 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3ced…d8eb | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3f17…ee00 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4c71…28ff | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x52c0…775e | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5443…90bf | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x569a…d013 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x597f…6e49 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5ac3…b58b | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5fa1…4f69 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6a8b…6a69 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6abb…aaed | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6c31…57ab | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x88f4…9d4b | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x92a6…0eee | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9445…ea83 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9524…d446 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9630…db11 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9dae…5c9e | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbbce…2565 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc6d2…bba2 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc94c…0c37 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd6cb…df73 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd872…62f3 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdaa3…7e49 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe462…9a9f | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe982…ac66 | Yes | 24 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| kkddr0x15ad…4fc4 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| xiaohaio0x3566…10fe | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| iiootry0xb25f…4724 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5b91…b8cd | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | No | 1 | 90.5¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 96.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| cornishon10xd990…749e | No | 0 | 90.3¢ | $0 | — |
| owfc090x195f…acc9 | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | — |
| horowe4no0x4e35…5f71 | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.