Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Yes | 5,611 | 80.3¢ | $4.26K | — |
| ratehikes0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | 3,467 | 24.5¢ | $2.63K | New49 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,514 | 21.0¢ | $1.91K | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,293 bets |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | No | 6,815 | 77.3¢ | $1.64K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 1,950 | 79.1¢ | $1.48K | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | No | 4,000 | 73.5¢ | $962 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,080 | 84.7¢ | $820 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 131,061 bets |
| AMATEUR0x7286…559e | Yes | 861 | 17.9¢ | $654 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 832 | 66.8¢ | $632 | — |
| worknplay0x4201…6133 | No | 2,000 | 33.1¢ | $481 | Losing−$55.26 per $100 · 124 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,555 | 93.0¢ | $374 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0xa894…53da | No | 1,385 | 93.8¢ | $333 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 181 bets |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 409 | 33.9¢ | $311 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 374 | 80.0¢ | $284 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| RobertQ990x836d…af5d | Yes | 311 | 3.9¢ | $236 | — |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | Yes | 288 | 89.1¢ | $219 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,434 bets |
| SC2610010xa2c0…cbe8 | Yes | 283 | 77.7¢ | $215 | — |
| Sunbreon0xf26c…ebe5 | No | 829 | 47.9¢ | $199 | — |
| AishahSofey0xd414…a4db | Yes | 252 | 5.3¢ | $192 | — |
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | No | 703 | 26.7¢ | $169 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 663 | 71.6¢ | $159 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Jimmyneutrondu340x7a45…4eec | Yes | 164 | 7.7¢ | $125 | — |
| 0xfd02…fb6a | Yes | 135 | 84.9¢ | $103 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 123 | 71.6¢ | $93 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 113 | 4.3¢ | $86 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 298 | 25.0¢ | $72 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| tadinchnails0x7527…e9b4 | Yes | 91 | 11.0¢ | $69 | — |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | Yes | 91 | 77.9¢ | $69 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 260 bets |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 80 | 10.9¢ | $61 | — |
| 0xa288…f80f | Yes | 76 | 27.7¢ | $58 | — |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | Yes | 66 | 24.4¢ | $50 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 206 | 63.8¢ | $50 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| 0xd6fa…adaf | Yes | 62 | 5.5¢ | $47 | — |
| Senjor0x5552…6f16 | Yes | 60 | 75.9¢ | $46 | — |
| growwise0xe5aa…87ac | Yes | 56 | 9.4¢ | $42 | — |
| girthgod694200x63de…a49b | Yes | 55 | 9.0¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x404a…ee3e | No | 160 | 79.6¢ | $38 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 45 | 11.2¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xd046…c496 | No | 141 | 68.4¢ | $34 | — |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 41 | 24.1¢ | $32 | — |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 116 | 81.0¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| pizdi.bolyu0x27b9…90d0 | Yes | 36 | 28.3¢ | $27 | Losing−$10.49 per $100 · 1,464 bets |
| szarruk0x677e…5d5a | Yes | 32 | 7.0¢ | $24 | New57 settled bets |
| 0x4579…d0f2 | Yes | 32 | 64.7¢ | $24 | — |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 100 | 94.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| TraderT0xf9b5…36cc | No | 100 | 81.0¢ | $24 | — |
| AAK.810x747b…a2d4 | Yes | 27 | 13.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Daanf5670x1be8…6626 | Yes | 26 | 3.8¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xde3a…c56c | Yes | 22 | 9.0¢ | $17 | — |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | No | 65 | 63.8¢ | $16 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| obscure10x8268…e7fd | Yes | 20 | 75.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.89 per $100 · 1,890 bets |
| 0xf22b…7eab | No | 61 | 77.1¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x0b1c…cc8a | Yes | 18 | 29.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$3.84 per $100 · 114 bets |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | Yes | 17 | 90.4¢ | $13 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 52 | 34.3¢ | $13 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| NinarRama0x8fac…ca99 | No | 50 | 92.7¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xa1c7…bdbb | No | 38 | 27.6¢ | $9 | New83 settled bets |
| teamflywheel0xafe2…b686 | No | 37 | 77.2¢ | $9 | — |
| alertpilot1230xb10a…5b24 | Yes | 10 | 35.1¢ | $8 | — |
| olympi0x48e7…4641 | Yes | 10 | 14.1¢ | $8 | — |
| mark.white0xbc49…d2eb | No | 30 | 68.8¢ | $7 | — |
| abc12311124410x5b29…e882 | Yes | 9 | 5.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$24.93 per $100 · 1,352 bets |
| AAA11100x0c01…797d | No | 29 | 34.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$41.13 per $100 · 168 bets |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 8 | 31.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| fireponbabylon0xa667…84fe | No | 25 | 67.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.51 per $100 · 1,399 bets |
| cornishon20xedee…67e6 | No | 24 | 79.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 23 | 95.4¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | No | 20 | 47.2¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,185 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 19 | 10.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 6 | 25.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Kaing0x119a…6578 | No | 18 | 28.3¢ | $4 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 18 | 33.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | 6 | 19.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 17 | 12.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Zhora-B0x176e…cdd4 | Yes | 5 | 75.7¢ | $4 | — |
| ioneko10x0f1f…a849 | Yes | 5 | 35.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x2b06…754a | Yes | 5 | 30.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 5 | 40.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 15 | 33.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| pecepe0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | 13 | 68.4¢ | $3 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 13 | 84.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x2a61…4020 | No | 12 | 83.9¢ | $3 | — |
| benguezmen0x5739…b180 | No | 12 | 15.6¢ | $3 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 4 | 8.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| kuasuo0x06dc…32b7 | No | 11 | 74.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 275 bets |
| colorfultortise110x6b16…6936 | No | 11 | 31.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 991 bets |
| WolfhoundBG0xfa45…2f1a | No | 10 | 78.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 10 | 18.6¢ | $2 | — |
| liuruijin0x88b3…bad4 | No | 10 | 74.2¢ | $2 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 24.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 24.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 10 | 27.6¢ | $2 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 13.1¢ | $2 | — |
| SpiceHunter0xce0f…7fc7 | No | 5 | 76.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 33.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 11.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.