Market · 15 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 15,042 | 16.2¢ | $14.8K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | No | 1,428 | 16.0¢ | $1.4K | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | No | 1,042 | 19.0¢ | $1.02K | New77 settled bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 1,000 | 97.2¢ | $981 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 206 | 17.3¢ | $202 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 7,573 bets |
| Flaner0x585b…753f | No | 205 | 73.0¢ | $201 | Losing−$4.08 per $100 · 927 bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 100 | 66.0¢ | $98 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| sobaka.yebaka0x613a…2185 | No | 72 | 89.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 1,475 bets |
| pizdi.bolyu0x27b9…90d0 | No | 72 | 91.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$10.49 per $100 · 1,464 bets |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 3,645 | 36.3¢ | $69 | — |
| KTKK0x7e01…63be | Yes | 3,000 | 33.0¢ | $57 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| tont.like.font0x967a…98b3 | No | 52 | 67.0¢ | $51 | — |
| TheLightFire0xa485…a7d5 | Yes | 2,507 | 23.9¢ | $48 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 46 | 80.2¢ | $45 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 1,701 | 3.3¢ | $32 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 0.6¢ | $23 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| FACao0xe09e…4b46 | No | 23 | 66.0¢ | $22 | — |
| uleele0x7f30…f5fb | Yes | 1,106 | 2.9¢ | $21 | — |
| Cryptostradamus0x6553…35e2 | Yes | 880 | 1.5¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xbdde…e54a | No | 14 | 20.0¢ | $14 | — |
| summerttt0xa945…110f | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $10 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 9 | 63.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 482 | 1.6¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 469 | 3.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 9 | 97.6¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| ballboy950xa849…c825 | Yes | 436 | 83.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$6.37 per $100 · 1,161 bets |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | Yes | 403 | 1.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| 0x3c96…a6ef | No | 8 | 19.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 7 | 68.5¢ | $7 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | Yes | 366 | 1.3¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | 319 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| almondlover90xdd45…59b2 | No | 6 | 18.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x0x01010x7d28…6d7a | Yes | 268 | 20.7¢ | $5 | — |
| constantinskuratovbelsky0x0dfe…de4d | No | 5 | 46.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 5 | 79.8¢ | $5 | — |
| ychwuw0xe8fd…f411 | Yes | 214 | 2.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | Yes | 200 | 81.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| 0xc834…8cc2 | No | 4 | 93.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 172 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| FiscalLiberalSocialConservative0xf22e…18f2 | Yes | 160 | 3.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Bond20260xd782…1d90 | Yes | 156 | 32.0¢ | $3 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 149 | 5.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x6841…6ebc | No | 2 | 19.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$21.46 per $100 · 741 bets |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | No | 2 | 21.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,840 bets |
| kuasuo0x06dc…32b7 | Yes | 103 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 275 bets |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | No | 2 | 14.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | Yes | 101 | 1.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| lyoo12100x1abe…f19f | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.26 per $100 · 727 bets |
| R-770x2d62…0a41 | Yes | 100 | 13.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.66 per $100 · 1,500 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 94 | 5.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 90 | 46.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| cit5000x12b2…a11d | Yes | 87 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | No | 1 | 87.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| rar1110x1bb7…543b | Yes | 63 | 13.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 241 bets |
| 0x2059…f13b | No | 1 | 86.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.93 per $100 · 998 bets |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
| 0x4edb…e5ef | No | 1 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Copytrador0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | 48 | 8.6¢ | $1 | — |
| uniloktij0xf13f…31cb | Yes | 48 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5354…100b | No | 1 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd282…a206 | Yes | 46 | 34.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 1 | 76.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| poliknomi0x477d…55a9 | Yes | 43 | 78.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x392b…b7da | Yes | 42 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | Yes | 40 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 274 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 38 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| ppking20x2a7e…9dc6 | No | 1 | 97.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 3,710 bets |
| BoughtTheTop0x3a56…387c | Yes | 36 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | No | 1 | 38.3¢ | $1 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 30 | 22.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Noonoo1230x2f52…9fba | No | 1 | 65.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Asakalang0x0109…02d4 | Yes | 22 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x474a…c816 | No | 0 | 55.5¢ | $0 | — |
| oihoiho0x8a14…fab6 | Yes | 20 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf41d…5e45 | No | 0 | 56.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mickeyB0x58c8…0300 | Yes | 18 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 19,448 bets |
| Po1yBot-Qg8K0ElZTL0x74ab…9a54 | Yes | 18 | 82.7¢ | $0 | — |
| xiao20xca91…8ec8 | Yes | 17 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| sporty23120x54f6…8402 | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6529…8184 | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x720b…0dd8 | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 15 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5 | Yes | 14 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | No | 0 | 58.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9297…358b | Yes | 11 | 10.7¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| 0xf0da…54d4 | Yes | 8 | 40.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 6 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| xKingCaesar0x38fc…33e2 | No | 0 | 16.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Miame0x13e8…9054 | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | — |
| wrongway70x3a36…40ff | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| subzero80xbff0…8018 | No | 0 | 97.3¢ | $0 | — |
| levi-a-fan0xee6a…f636 | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| rawgrain0xf566…79fe | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5fb4…c01d | No | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lgot0x903c…6b06 | No | 0 | 97.3¢ | $0 | — |
| cq-00xfd72…6cc4 | No | 0 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.