Market · 13 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,555 | 83.0¢ | $1.52K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 1,097 | 96.6¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,434 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 920 | 97.6¢ | $901 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 227 | 97.8¢ | $222 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | No | 100 | 95.9¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 274 bets |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 100 | 92.8¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | 70 | 96.2¢ | $69 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 2,409 | 17.2¢ | $49 | — |
| safrter990x3aa9…ae2c | No | 50 | 95.0¢ | $49 | — |
| 7n193glg30x7f97…6aaf | No | 50 | 96.2¢ | $49 | — |
| marikmarakesh0x1fc9…e985 | No | 37 | 95.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 23 | 83.4¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| njbpeft79rwk0x99d4…e600 | No | 23 | 86.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 731 | 16.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 7 | 97.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 7 | 97.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Gan6660xbd2a…db9a | No | 6 | 85.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf41d…5e45 | No | 6 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Khameneii0x0a21…c97c | Yes | 251 | 19.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 5 | 84.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0xfe2c…d2ad | No | 4 | 86.0¢ | $4 | — |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | No | 3 | 0.0¢ | $3 | New45 settled bets |
| papayonci0x0e45…ae93 | No | 2 | 82.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 711 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 100 | 2.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 85 | 1.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 82 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 2 | 95.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| hoshe0xd493…205a | Yes | 63 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| krestx0x8f76…14d0 | Yes | 59 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| i-race0x3925…c094 | Yes | 41 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 38 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| sadfsafd0xf8f2…96cf | Yes | 34 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 33 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0x474a…c816 | No | 1 | 92.7¢ | $1 | — |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | Yes | 30 | 5.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 692 bets |
| Babs13370xe5d4…7656 | Yes | 30 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 26 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| 0x572c…4360 | No | 1 | 97.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.88 per $100 · 785 bets |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6529…8184 | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0bd8…6eef | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x44eb…5d76 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x88fd…e008 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa267…5ac7 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaa9f…152a | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb883…58f3 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd772…047a | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe44d…e9ea | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| m24vc0xa580…0b4c | No | 0 | 92.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 10 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb940…ae0d | Yes | 8 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| snic0xfe4a…e5a9 | Yes | 7 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 6 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x04df…5401 | Yes | 6 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x361b…6998 | Yes | 5 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | Yes | 5 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 5 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed89…647b | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 5 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 5 | 12.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| Preballin0x3e49…ae9d | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| valmier0x3e6e…99ea | Yes | 1 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbada…d874 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbb5a…e940 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd875…884c | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x26b2…f2c3 | No | 0 | 84.2¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50000Harry0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 63sdf0x601f…76ad | Yes | 0 | 6.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 557 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| thepolwinner0x3078…0389 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 30,956 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.