Market · 17 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 935 | 97.1¢ | $918 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 500 | 97.5¢ | $491 | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 295 | 97.0¢ | $290 | — |
| 0xf5ee…5d9c | No | 264 | 91.0¢ | $259 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 164 | 94.4¢ | $161 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| omsode0x82bd…335e | No | 130 | 97.0¢ | $128 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 146 bets |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | No | 100 | 97.1¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 274 bets |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 86 | 93.2¢ | $85 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| uniloktij0xf13f…31cb | No | 60 | 96.9¢ | $59 | — |
| Stray10x2b35…8ad5 | No | 51 | 97.4¢ | $50 | — |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 47 | 93.9¢ | $46 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | No | 32 | 93.3¢ | $31 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 692 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 22 | 96.3¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| freyaai0xdb18…4474 | No | 15 | 97.3¢ | $15 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 636 | 2.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 629 | 3.1¢ | $12 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 400 | 2.6¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 97.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 193 | 2.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 3 | 97.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 93.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0xf41d…5e45 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | 55 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 1 | 97.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
| davinchieth0x7960…85b5 | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$11.53 per $100 · 105 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 45 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 3.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 33 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 25 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Babs13370xe5d4…7656 | Yes | 20 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6626…a040 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8bbc…a3cf | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| brzcfh0x16d2…b413 | Yes | 13 | 15.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1fda…88fb | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3115…37b7 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x319a…3919 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3778…d347 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4451…3f19 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x47b9…bb65 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x511d…6ab3 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x51ba…30ca | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5329…336f | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7488…0b10 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7c4d…b076 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x807d…5d35 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x85a9…3ae8 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x95bd…b08d | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa0dc…1ca4 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa963…279e | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0ab…44d5 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb679…1873 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb711…be65 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde42…082c | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde5a…9ffa | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe257…4cec | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xee43…5673 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfe0a…f4de | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | Yes | 11 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bajato0xa6ba…a55e | Yes | 10 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 9 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 8 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4aad…12ff | Yes | 4 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb651…2089 | Yes | 3 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 3 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 0 | 91.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.