Market · 20 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 1,059 | 98.6¢ | $1.05K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 125 | 98.8¢ | $123 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | No | 122 | 95.2¢ | $121 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 692 bets |
| Stray10x2b35…8ad5 | No | 51 | 98.9¢ | $50 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 28 | 92.0¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x3231…24ae | No | 19 | 96.2¢ | $18 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 16 | 96.2¢ | $16 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| lovekebab0xe3c5…7332 | No | 9 | 92.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| lastdance40xd945…7112 | No | 4 | 92.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3865…a1c6 | No | 4 | 94.3¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 255 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| papayonci0x0e45…ae93 | No | 2 | 90.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 711 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 120 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 103 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0xf41d…5e45 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | Yes | 70 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 274 bets |
| Chrissistar040xf86c…ba99 | Yes | 61 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 58 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xbada…d874 | Yes | 57 | 2.4¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 39 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cit5000x12b2…a11d | Yes | 25 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 24 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8c9f…46af | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1f81…c16e | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5fe0…33f8 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8de3…b8f3 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9402…6034 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa87f…c74d | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcf23…e8f6 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd4b2…d3c2 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x052a…7d9d | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0667…7085 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0fb1…5853 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1245…1257 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x13ad…db89 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1ab2…7aac | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1f87…e402 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x326c…d930 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x34f2…3950 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e72…b92c | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa580…2f0f | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb8dc…8614 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd37e…3076 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd62c…4c43 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xea58…3107 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xed00…f38e | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 13 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0x7680…80ca | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0601…eda7 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0e44…bbaf | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x102d…4e33 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x17ad…f96c | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1a2a…4b15 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4f24…d9ad | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5107…f04f | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x779d…3ad8 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7c65…6390 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| elfauno0xbbd5…06ad | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbc4a…036f | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd90a…3e28 | Yes | 10 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| m24vc0xa580…0b4c | No | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.