Market · 12 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 303 | 96.2¢ | $297 | — |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | No | 123 | 94.5¢ | $120 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 692 bets |
| valeriafronzo0x0977…900e | No | 59 | 96.9¢ | $58 | — |
| kirieshque0xa7f9…e20e | No | 57 | 99.5¢ | $56 | — |
| cum-busters16-0x7ce4…bb27 | No | 55 | 98.9¢ | $54 | — |
| nichertaev0xc17d…be92 | No | 54 | 98.9¢ | $53 | — |
| silverwolfie0x6830…3b64 | No | 53 | 99.5¢ | $52 | — |
| feastablesarebad0x6b53…d53d | No | 53 | 99.0¢ | $52 | — |
| allaninto230x2696…df66 | No | 49 | 98.2¢ | $48 | — |
| runa079010x438e…67c7 | No | 42 | 98.9¢ | $41 | — |
| hannah.b-990x9992…69ef | No | 41 | 98.9¢ | $40 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 10 | 89.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 9 | 91.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Oldfarm0x510b…da8d | Yes | 203 | 2.8¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 79 | 5.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 63 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 59 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | 48 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 29 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 28 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x02a6…eb01 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1716…93b5 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1d7a…b8f7 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2415…e61f | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2a5a…548c | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x42f9…be73 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4c9e…36c4 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x68c4…60c5 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x88f0…fe53 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x93f9…ab20 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xda6a…be68 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde97…ce37 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf288…4342 | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf5fd…65dd | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfa91…c79f | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0146…ada3 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x268e…2c0f | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x360d…45ad | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3818…8110 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4450…7a41 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5d95…ccd6 | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x953f…e59d | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9864…251a | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe28e…4c1f | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe89d…675b | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfc54…bdcd | Yes | 13 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Chrissistar040xf86c…ba99 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 9 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb791…d1bb | Yes | 8 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc9f6…d9f7 | Yes | 5 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bajato0xa6ba…a55e | Yes | 5 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| snic0xfe4a…e5a9 | Yes | 1 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AnneGrego0xff32…dc40 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 0 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.