Market · 18 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hgamezoon0x82e9…b34c | No | 367 | 95.6¢ | $362 | New4 settled bets |
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 244 | 95.7¢ | $240 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 189 | 97.1¢ | $186 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 72 | 96.3¢ | $71 | — |
| NotOver0x1779…4822 | No | 70 | 89.7¢ | $69 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 286 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 65 | 96.3¢ | $64 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 27 | 94.1¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 25 | 94.9¢ | $25 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| marcelobravo0x36b6…e523 | No | 20 | 95.3¢ | $20 | — |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 17 | 96.0¢ | $16 | — |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | No | 15 | 89.7¢ | $15 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | 159 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$63.56 per $100 · 34,653+ bets · updating |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 132 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| miazagsc0xd517…382d | Yes | 132 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| fespvel0x95d4…72a2 | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2a5b…b78b | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 3383838330x9a1d…8986 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| uuusdl0xbb99…8889 | No | 1 | 95.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 30 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 24 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0x17a0…46b3 | Yes | 14 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ac0…568d | Yes | 14 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x62b6…8168 | Yes | 14 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc73d…1133 | Yes | 14 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe26a…5461 | Yes | 14 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9002…c8cf | Yes | 14 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1338…040a | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1d16…2e97 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x217c…f329 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x299f…c90e | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3dc4…cea0 | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x405b…7d0c | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4a8d…d7b2 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5592…ffa3 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5662…9e79 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72a0…f8ab | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7c09…a9bf | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8507…1b67 | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x89ca…5b0f | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8a07…2cd3 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8e08…d479 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd01b…9cdf | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdf32…e16b | Yes | 13 | 7.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe7a7…f0d7 | Yes | 13 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2282…d007 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x28de…9bb7 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2fa6…f5b1 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4f09…1147 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x58a6…cf68 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb376…ee05 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb616…968a | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba83…6016 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd38e…be37 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe709…ec21 | Yes | 12 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 10 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ffsFsfq0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | 10 | 10.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4d17…5ef1 | Yes | 8 | 12.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 5 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| 0xc9f6…d9f7 | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x9865…174d | Yes | 2 | 8.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb710…6532 | Yes | 2 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | No | 0 | 92.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 93.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| elpatrondelaciudad0x156b…0f5b | No | 0 | 95.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Oldfarm0x510b…da8d | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.