Market · 7 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahpo0xcdb1…276c | No | 1,000 | 96.8¢ | $976 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 3,433 bets |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 892 | 93.8¢ | $871 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| hgamezoon0x82e9…b34c | No | 516 | 95.8¢ | $503 | New4 settled bets |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | No | 199 | 98.0¢ | $195 | New98 settled bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 195 | 95.5¢ | $190 | — |
| machiavelia0x48ec…8f36 | No | 174 | 42.1¢ | $170 | — |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 139 | 97.0¢ | $135 | — |
| NotOver0x1779…4822 | No | 125 | 92.7¢ | $122 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 286 bets |
| bazzaloing0x29a5…7752 | No | 119 | 97.0¢ | $116 | — |
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 88 | 96.1¢ | $86 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 86 | 97.7¢ | $84 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | No | 61 | 94.4¢ | $59 | — |
| ShotoTodo0x0c11…8168 | No | 50 | 95.0¢ | $49 | — |
| puliotbabulu0xb3ca…1a85 | No | 50 | 95.3¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x8eef…7066 | Yes | 1,874 | 11.7¢ | $45 | — |
| martenlill79540x86ae…a071 | No | 26 | 98.5¢ | $26 | — |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 10 | 94.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| resilience260x16da…05c0 | No | 6 | 97.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Oldfarm0x510b…da8d | Yes | 227 | 2.2¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 157 | 7.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Makimasa0x5e05…b9e1 | No | 4 | 97.8¢ | $4 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 129 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 105 | 4.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 100 | 3.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf22b…7eab | Yes | 100 | 4.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Obiviouslynotaninsider0x6735…f5b7 | Yes | 92 | 3.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4f41…a33d | No | 2 | 99.0¢ | $2 | — |
| enjoy310xcbe6…a04f | No | 2 | 93.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x75d1…90da | Yes | 62 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 46.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Zanyee0xd015…6c59 | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | — |
| benguezmen0x5739…b180 | Yes | 51 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2a5b…b78b | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x572c…4360 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb891…502f | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 31 | 6.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 44,850+ bets · updating |
| 0x1a8c…d888 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2e71…ba75 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4399…5bd1 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x61f3…6cd9 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x637f…a8be | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6579…7607 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8bbf…8469 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8c56…3a88 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9088…3ffc | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa0da…6387 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xabf5…2505 | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb62d…dad4 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf5ae…06f2 | Yes | 25 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0687…5fc3 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x289f…1681 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3c82…439b | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4606…b818 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x51bd…f89d | Yes | 21 | 4.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5ac9…8505 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7168…ae95 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b9…7be3 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8c4f…bd56 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8ea5…5dbd | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9148…ee20 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc08f…9cff | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc844…ec42 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd259…5386 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe6c5…6fc8 | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ahhhg0x1306…62ed | Yes | 20 | 8.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x33ae…b9a0 | Yes | 19 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x591a…6456 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5afa…58e3 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0730…570e | Yes | 17 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfa8a…97ee | Yes | 15 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 14 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | 10 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd735…ea92 | Yes | 10 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 3 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| znakomo0xd92d…a2ba | No | 0 | 96.8¢ | $0 | — |
| mailakuusik54860x900d…a480 | No | 0 | 97.9¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| anonpzhuwu0xb115…04df | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| blintizaebal0x4578…8d09 | No | 0 | 94.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.