Market · 18 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 1,398 | 96.5¢ | $1.37K | — |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | No | 731 | 98.0¢ | $719 | New98 settled bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 400 | 95.2¢ | $393 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 196 | 95.4¢ | $193 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 307 bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 183 | 82.0¢ | $180 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| ychwuw0xe8fd…f411 | No | 126 | 97.4¢ | $124 | — |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 99 | 94.1¢ | $97 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | No | 81 | 94.9¢ | $80 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 692 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | No | 80 | 97.5¢ | $79 | — |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 78 | 95.6¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | No | 70 | 97.2¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 274 bets |
| Obiviouslynotaninsider0x6735…f5b7 | No | 59 | 95.7¢ | $58 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 521 bets |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | 48 | 96.9¢ | $47 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 45 | 97.5¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| ppppppqqqqqqq0x5668…54bc | No | 30 | 99.0¢ | $30 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 30 | 94.9¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 1,688 | 3.3¢ | $28 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| cit5000x12b2…a11d | No | 25 | 97.5¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | 606 | 3.4¢ | $10 | — |
| lovekebab0xe3c5…7332 | No | 9 | 95.0¢ | $9 | — |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 8 | 97.1¢ | $8 | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| lastdance40xd945…7112 | No | 7 | 95.0¢ | $7 | — |
| resilience260x16da…05c0 | No | 7 | 98.1¢ | $7 | — |
| Menelania0xfe49…716a | No | 5 | 93.9¢ | $5 | — |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 5 | 97.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | Yes | 299 | 5.1¢ | $5 | — |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | No | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Rubber-Tell-Diary0x7d3d…8a29 | No | 3 | 93.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Girl-More0x1861…e7a4 | No | 2 | 92.8¢ | $2 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 5.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 5.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 94 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| 0x35df…cf97 | Yes | 88 | 6.0¢ | $1 | New88 settled bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 92.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0xf41d…5e45 | No | 1 | 93.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2059…f13b | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.93 per $100 · 998 bets |
| Nature-Snow0x5a20…e1c2 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| own-purse0x5a37…7bc8 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| skirt-normal0xbe8d…9ac2 | No | 1 | 92.8¢ | $1 | — |
| cactusGoose0xc846…e9c7 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| music-property0xd34e…1ae5 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Xixihaha0080xf609…e68b | No | 1 | 95.7¢ | $1 | — |
| paas20xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | 26 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,816+ bets · updating |
| 0x0240…bd19 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0273…364a | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x064b…44c5 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1183…5b01 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1947…80d8 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x24c8…e1a8 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x32e8…e1a5 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e1…e784 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x52e3…79f6 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9610…5a42 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xace0…4a16 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb86e…0a14 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcc54…6881 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdd16…bad9 | Yes | 22 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| snic0xfe4a…e5a9 | Yes | 21 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe795…0eaa | Yes | 20 | 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x03be…5259 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0692…1247 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x21f5…bd31 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x28d3…2bce | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3cea…49a1 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x83bb…9ee1 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8714…72ef | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x905e…f864 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa747…8c87 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbef8…ec40 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdd57…aee9 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe688…5940 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb940…ae0d | Yes | 20 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9582…e799 | Yes | 18 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xad9a…a6b4 | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0f22…c83b | Yes | 15 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x12dc…c685 | Yes | 14 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf0f4…92d2 | Yes | 14 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdaf9…18ac | Yes | 10 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 8 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 6 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0xc9f6…d9f7 | Yes | 5 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 4 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| offer-exact0xf045…b217 | Yes | 3 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 3 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 94.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Kezzzz0xd71b…38b4 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Oldfarm0x510b…da8d | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| omnibus-6c8b150x6c8b…645c | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.84 per $100 · 4,806 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.