Market · 8 of 20 outcomes
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | No | 1,867 | 98.0¢ | $1.83K | New98 settled bets |
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 655 | 97.1¢ | $640 | — |
| NotOver0x1779…4822 | No | 381 | 95.0¢ | $372 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 286 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 179 | 97.1¢ | $175 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | No | 160 | 94.2¢ | $156 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| Gaujmalietis0xd883…4fd7 | No | 118 | 94.5¢ | $116 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,573 bets |
| Ungetting0x2a31…6977 | No | 63 | 98.8¢ | $62 | — |
| 0x7281…b217 | No | 52 | 94.0¢ | $51 | — |
| soonsoon0x42f1…c759 | No | 52 | 96.1¢ | $51 | New67 settled bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 1,982 | 3.6¢ | $44 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| explorer2210x7fa5…7621 | No | 40 | 93.5¢ | $40 | — |
| Obiviouslynotaninsider0x6735…f5b7 | No | 33 | 94.0¢ | $32 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 521 bets |
| ppppppqqqqqqq0x5668…54bc | No | 32 | 98.5¢ | $31 | — |
| resilience260x16da…05c0 | No | 27 | 97.9¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xbada…d874 | No | 11 | 96.1¢ | $11 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 11 | 98.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 414 | 2.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 199 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | 110 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 104 | 3.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 92.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 2 | 93.0¢ | $2 | — |
| welldone6660x0609…29f5 | Yes | 80 | 3.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Uwillsee0xa7ff…55f2 | Yes | 75 | 6.2¢ | $2 | — |
| trrr120x184b…67b2 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 52 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| emapol30x853a…1a9f | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x474a…c816 | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb209…7e80 | Yes | 28 | 7.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe795…0eaa | Yes | 23 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2046…2765 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x29d6…34dc | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3177…c5b8 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3275…65dc | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x76ff…4fa4 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x795e…5415 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7a6c…9777 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8f4c…17b5 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa33e…4096 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa8df…a03f | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc448…7476 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc9b9…9c8b | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd056…588a | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd948…7376 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xeb75…9a0f | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xee96…9b5f | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1abe…e7d3 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3ac1…1c95 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3e0b…ad16 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x407d…a76a | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaf67…fe87 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb8ba…ee7b | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb93f…db8f | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd156…6849 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xddd9…213b | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde39…fba9 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe1f8…b7e7 | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf9f8…190e | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfde0…418a | Yes | 18 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xacc5…1e2c | Yes | 17 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xce81…19e7 | Yes | 17 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | Yes | 16 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| orin400xd493…7f04 | Yes | 12 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc9f6…d9f7 | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbac3…c3fc | Yes | 2 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 2 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 18,335 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| hjhkj0x6457…7d17 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Donanza0x92a3…4a7d | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | Yes | 0 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 6.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.