Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 1,866 | 96.0¢ | $1.85K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 294 | 95.0¢ | $292 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 29,999+ bets · updating |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 188 | 97.0¢ | $186 | — |
| bankiet12220xb477…a189 | No | 101 | 98.9¢ | $100 | — |
| F1geek0x3844…7285 | Yes | 5,671 | 1.0¢ | $51 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 4,200 | 2.0¢ | $38 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,923 bets |
| Happydog20260x629c…2739 | Yes | 3,207 | 6.5¢ | $29 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 2,612 | 1.5¢ | $24 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 2,463 | 3.5¢ | $22 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| Webb-On-The-Go0x4e87…179b | No | 21 | 97.6¢ | $20 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| vbreqqw0x03a0…f906 | No | 11 | 98.9¢ | $11 | — |
| feishen0x92bc…c8cd | Yes | 1,186 | 8.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 962 | 1.6¢ | $9 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 9 | 98.4¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 97.2¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 558 | 4.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,851 bets |
| v1notlost0x48f9…e61d | Yes | 440 | 5.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.53 per $100 · 288 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 350 | 2.2¢ | $3 | — |
| smarttradder0xea28…3a0b | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8b46…e83c | Yes | 294 | 3.6¢ | $3 | — |
| confirmit0x9fc4…2f1c | Yes | 204 | 5.1¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 200 | 4.2¢ | $2 | — |
| No-risk-no-bisc0xb7c0…e24e | Yes | 200 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | No | 2 | 96.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 182 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| daphneykyoshabire0x7e77…9b21 | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5ccf…1188 | Yes | 119 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| YaMaGo4i0xc4e9…795d | Yes | 100 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 86 | 19.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | 80 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x9c84…be53 | Yes | 72 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 60 | 14.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| brzcfh0x16d2…b413 | Yes | 36 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 31 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Hugo4594400x880d…adb6 | Yes | 27 | 4.3¢ | $0 | — |
| goldgood0x0f44…f4bd | Yes | 20 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| BetongBlomst0xcf7c…1b28 | Yes | 16 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 12 | 17.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| LaiCai30x0ebd…4ce1 | Yes | 10 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 4 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,433 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 0 | 96.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 0 | 95.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| glhfgg0xe1e7…12fe | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.55 per $100 · 1,442 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 1 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 24.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 0 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.