Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
22 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | No | 105,205 | 56.9¢ | $60.5K | New74 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 46,768 | 59.5¢ | $26.9K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 23,320 | 44.0¢ | $9.91K | New6 settled bets |
| HD450x600e…7aac | Yes | 17,487 | 42.3¢ | $7.43K | New21 settled bets |
| TR4220xcf40…004c | Yes | 11,112 | 45.5¢ | $4.72K | — |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 10,885 | 42.3¢ | $4.63K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| pup10x54b5…4b31 | Yes | 10,000 | 3.5¢ | $4.25K | Positive+$2.96 per $100 · 5,558 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 10,000 | 40.9¢ | $4.25K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | Yes | 9,117 | 38.9¢ | $3.87K | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| Fulgurator0x0130…274c | Yes | 8,500 | 43.0¢ | $3.61K | New87 settled bets |
| thebug440xde7c…c933 | Yes | 7,000 | 46.0¢ | $2.98K | Positive+$25.31 per $100 · 150 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 6,861 | 43.0¢ | $2.92K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | No | 5,000 | 61.0¢ | $2.87K | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 6,000 | 47.0¢ | $2.55K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| zerosmart0x2755…5016 | Yes | 5,901 | 38.9¢ | $2.51K | Proven+$75.16 per $100 · 154 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | No | 4,227 | 58.3¢ | $2.43K | Proven+$9.45 per $100 · 749 bets |
| Heskel20xcfee…ffcd | No | 4,069 | 58.5¢ | $2.34K | — |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 5,276 | 44.4¢ | $2.24K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | Yes | 5,000 | 46.5¢ | $2.13K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 454 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | Yes | 5,000 | 44.0¢ | $2.13K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| l3t00xd14a…a8ad | Yes | 5,000 | 43.0¢ | $2.13K | Proven+$6.10 per $100 · 109 bets |
| 0xf80e…2af8 | Yes | 5,000 | 45.0¢ | $2.13K | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 3,008 | 52.7¢ | $1.73K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Specksalam0x80f1…3ccd | Yes | 4,000 | 45.0¢ | $1.7K | New88 settled bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 3,951 | 50.2¢ | $1.68K | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 3,918 | 40.6¢ | $1.67K | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 3,680 | 43.8¢ | $1.56K | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| Loyalty-Crash0x44d9…4c1a | Yes | 3,145 | 38.0¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| bnbaltz0x8181…a32c | Yes | 3,000 | 46.0¢ | $1.27K | New2 settled bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 3,000 | 40.3¢ | $1.27K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | No | 2,200 | 58.2¢ | $1.26K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| TTdes0x2586…c893 | Yes | 2,938 | 34.4¢ | $1.25K | Proven+$7.37 per $100 · 1,368 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 2,928 | 38.9¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 2,800 | 44.8¢ | $1.19K | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| mrmoonlight0x87dd…e210 | Yes | 2,779 | 43.0¢ | $1.18K | — |
| pop0x6404…f250 | Yes | 2,400 | 43.5¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 2,263 | 42.1¢ | $962 | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| fkpa0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | 2,244 | 47.8¢ | $954 | Proven+$27.44 per $100 · 196 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 1,512 | 52.8¢ | $869 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,150 bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | Yes | 2,000 | 43.5¢ | $850 | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 1,981 | 40.5¢ | $842 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | No | 1,430 | 60.9¢ | $823 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Yes | 1,386 | 47.7¢ | $589 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 32,447 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 1,379 | 46.4¢ | $586 | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 1,018 | 51.0¢ | $585 | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 1,000 | 54.0¢ | $575 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 1,300 | 44.0¢ | $553 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| 0x0b91…ae77 | Yes | 1,250 | 47.0¢ | $531 | Proven+$10.22 per $100 · 659 bets |
| 0xc79d…0203 | Yes | 1,163 | 44.0¢ | $494 | New30 settled bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | No | 802 | 59.0¢ | $461 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 1,069 | 42.0¢ | $454 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,306 bets |
| Rebecca-950x5082…049d | Yes | 1,000 | 45.0¢ | $425 | Positive+$9.08 per $100 · 166 bets |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv0x57b0…76f4 | Yes | 1,000 | 44.0¢ | $425 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| planetnine0x183a…d514 | Yes | 1,000 | 42.0¢ | $425 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 520 bets |
| Delta1410x7c4e…6cad | Yes | 952 | 43.0¢ | $405 | — |
| Voland67770xc23e…6499 | Yes | 906 | 47.0¢ | $385 | New18 settled bets |
| meteortrex0x4c99…6efb | Yes | 761 | 45.0¢ | $323 | — |
| cryptoh01der70x1b90…c4f8 | Yes | 746 | 49.0¢ | $317 | Proven+$18.65 per $100 · 377 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 550 | 56.4¢ | $316 | — |
| KissingGolden0x9dcb…628b | Yes | 720 | 43.0¢ | $306 | — |
| Golftango0x5e53…922d | Yes | 718 | 42.7¢ | $305 | Losing−$7.11 per $100 · 1,166 bets |
| Olliii8010x9745…efe5 | Yes | 714 | 43.0¢ | $304 | — |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 700 | 38.6¢ | $298 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 957 bets |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | No | 500 | 58.9¢ | $288 | — |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 500 | 56.0¢ | $287 | New3 settled bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | No | 490 | 59.4¢ | $282 | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | No | 440 | 53.6¢ | $253 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| Iamketoman0x3f1e…e41e | No | 439 | 58.0¢ | $252 | New47 settled bets |
| WilliamWright98000x98cb…a127 | No | 418 | 66.0¢ | $240 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | No | 378 | 55.4¢ | $217 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| fakefinn0xb237…d8d0 | No | 331 | 60.5¢ | $190 | — |
| CodBeaver0x8330…5700 | No | 301 | 58.4¢ | $173 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | No | 300 | 55.3¢ | $173 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No | 280 | 56.5¢ | $161 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 260 | 57.8¢ | $150 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,343 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 244 | 76.0¢ | $140 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 233 | 58.0¢ | $134 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 210 | 53.0¢ | $121 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| profit4real0x14bc…3904 | No | 199 | 62.0¢ | $114 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 672 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 151 | 78.0¢ | $87 | — |
| FriteKetchup0x39c9…b108 | No | 150 | 59.3¢ | $86 | — |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 130 | 60.0¢ | $75 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 127 | 56.3¢ | $73 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 120 | 62.7¢ | $69 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | No | 113 | 61.0¢ | $65 | Proven+$9.51 per $100 · 524 bets |
| Boston-Ford0x0905…e5c0 | No | 100 | 55.6¢ | $57 | Losing−$2.64 per $100 · 7,517 bets |
| e3220xe709…9d39 | No | 100 | 56.6¢ | $57 | — |
| Unprofitable0x9ee8…1b93 | No | 100 | 59.0¢ | $57 | — |
| marquislau0x0d77…a765 | No | 86 | 61.3¢ | $50 | — |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | No | 80 | 62.8¢ | $46 | New90 settled bets |
| 0xbb32…b21e | No | 63 | 70.7¢ | $36 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 60 | 52.0¢ | $35 | — |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 60 | 63.4¢ | $35 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | No | 58 | 60.7¢ | $33 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| jake460xe780…fe0d | No | 57 | 59.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x86f0…610c | No | 56 | 54.0¢ | $32 | — |
| laborday250x3942…22d9 | No | 52 | 60.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xd819…2d80 | No | 50 | 61.0¢ | $29 | — |
| RebeccaStone59870xef14…bf21 | No | 50 | 73.7¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xf8e4…3b32 | No | 49 | 52.0¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 9,360 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.