Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4488…e319 | No | 10,000 | 76.1¢ | $7.75K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 7,572 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 32,074 | 25.7¢ | $7.22K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 12,540 | 23.6¢ | $2.82K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 3,480 | 77.8¢ | $2.7K | — |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 3,281 | 76.9¢ | $2.54K | — |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | No | 3,000 | 73.0¢ | $2.32K | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 2,673 | 75.3¢ | $2.07K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| NotHarrisonHohman0xe72e…282d | No | 2,570 | 78.5¢ | $1.99K | New8 settled bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 2,031 | 76.4¢ | $1.57K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | No | 1,000 | 79.0¢ | $775 | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| HongKongMenace0x7919…72b2 | Yes | 3,211 | 19.7¢ | $722 | New60 settled bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 2,725 | 21.2¢ | $613 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| JJo0xc408…4675 | Yes | 2,323 | 22.0¢ | $523 | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,924 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 626 | 90.1¢ | $485 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 500 | 73.0¢ | $388 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 500 | 84.5¢ | $387 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 473 | 77.0¢ | $367 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0xfbdf…3256 | No | 437 | 80.6¢ | $338 | — |
| Yirmeyahu0x55f3…cada | Yes | 1,500 | 27.8¢ | $338 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 157 bets |
| 0x515e…ec0d | Yes | 1,356 | 27.5¢ | $305 | New79 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 1,111 | 22.0¢ | $250 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 316 | 78.6¢ | $245 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 300 | 78.8¢ | $233 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 1,000 | 21.9¢ | $225 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Golftango0x5e53…922d | Yes | 952 | 21.7¢ | $214 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 1,134 bets |
| humbleBaker0x1237…06af | No | 274 | 81.0¢ | $212 | — |
| MateisLostDog0xe274…ee86 | Yes | 750 | 22.7¢ | $169 | — |
| OkayAlright0x2873…4ad3 | No | 200 | 78.7¢ | $155 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $155 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 645 | 15.6¢ | $145 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 641 | 27.4¢ | $144 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 577 | 19.9¢ | $130 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 556 | 22.0¢ | $125 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| Pbankster0x56cb…9550 | Yes | 553 | 18.6¢ | $124 | — |
| Mmtst50x9d99…4439 | No | 151 | 81.6¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x560f…4691 | Yes | 517 | 23.7¢ | $116 | — |
| B2twarminius0x8545…ada5 | Yes | 477 | 18.7¢ | $107 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 138 | 74.4¢ | $107 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| data-sync0x21ad…10d2 | No | 133 | 75.7¢ | $103 | — |
| 0x2e0e…4a73 | No | 130 | 78.0¢ | $101 | — |
| RiseFromTheAshes0x1d5c…55df | Yes | 435 | 23.7¢ | $98 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 126 | 76.6¢ | $98 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 125 | 77.4¢ | $97 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| Kirill19750x5e89…9f91 | No | 125 | 80.6¢ | $97 | — |
| Gamepsycho48010xf559…9ab4 | No | 122 | 82.6¢ | $95 | — |
| Rol0x355c…e6d4 | Yes | 370 | 27.8¢ | $83 | — |
| Bdrivedfya0xc205…eec2 | Yes | 345 | 24.1¢ | $78 | — |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | No | 100 | 80.6¢ | $78 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 323 | 21.9¢ | $73 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | Yes | 300 | 26.0¢ | $68 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 86 | 76.6¢ | $67 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 82 | 74.6¢ | $64 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,227 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 80 | 77.5¢ | $62 | — |
| Picksell0x0b9e…154a | Yes | 259 | 27.8¢ | $58 | — |
| 0xc6ed…b9fe | No | 74 | 77.0¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x8351…9beb | Yes | 250 | 20.6¢ | $56 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 2,897 bets |
| kissder0x8090…26ce | No | 72 | 82.6¢ | $56 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 69 | 70.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 60 | 77.0¢ | $47 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 206 | 23.8¢ | $46 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | Yes | 200 | 20.0¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 914 bets |
| 0x4049…4db4 | Yes | 190 | 21.7¢ | $43 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 50 | 75.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 172 | 27.2¢ | $39 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 139 | 7.7¢ | $31 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 134 | 20.9¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| Wunderbar690xc0b3…786c | Yes | 111 | 21.7¢ | $25 | — |
| pantomime0xd039…2532 | Yes | 107 | 21.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 3,792 bets |
| 0x473c…0f94 | Yes | 105 | 22.6¢ | $24 | — |
| .0.0x6cf8…042f | Yes | 100 | 22.0¢ | $23 | Proven+$14.61 per $100 · 149 bets |
| VechnoMolodoyy0xa3f6…1326 | Yes | 100 | 23.7¢ | $23 | — |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | Yes | 100 | 22.7¢ | $23 | — |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 100 | 22.7¢ | $23 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 100 | 18.6¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| mikon-scotti0xd3db…b323 | Yes | 89 | 27.8¢ | $20 | — |
| AJK20x014e…3794 | Yes | 87 | 0.0¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 263 bets |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | No | 25 | 82.2¢ | $19 | — |
| Rabbit9290xfd8b…d50f | Yes | 84 | 18.3¢ | $19 | — |
| we-are-the-world20x8569…2267 | Yes | 80 | 26.5¢ | $18 | — |
| l4920x7efb…68a1 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $16 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 69 | 19.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| sublease35930x13fb…7701 | Yes | 64 | 27.8¢ | $14 | — |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 18 | 83.0¢ | $14 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 62 | 19.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | No | 17 | 82.1¢ | $13 | — |
| smallnewt0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | 56 | 18.6¢ | $12 | — |
| vibekot0xc3e5…015d | Yes | 54 | 19.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xd68f…b8ef | No | 15 | 77.5¢ | $12 | — |
| sleepyjoebiden0x71f3…bb5c | Yes | 50 | 19.4¢ | $11 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 50 | 17.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| lisabryant0x72d6…da75 | No | 14 | 78.0¢ | $11 | — |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | No | 14 | 73.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x493e…f390 | No | 13 | 78.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x84f5…e61c | No | 13 | 79.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xee1c…51b9 | No | 13 | 79.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x0483…0b04 | No | 12 | 78.7¢ | $9 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 12 | 77.0¢ | $9 | — |
| bwambo0xacd8…c209 | No | 11 | 79.7¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xb91f…b7d5 | No | 10 | 79.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x4ca4…5c04 | No | 10 | 80.6¢ | $8 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.