Market · 5 of 8 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 308 | 72.1¢ | $273 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 206 | 73.6¢ | $182 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 199 | 28.9¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | Yes | 190 | 27.4¢ | $22 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 10 | 72.3¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | Yes | 36 | 24.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 29.0¢ | $3 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 29 | 29.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 4 | 78.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | No | 3 | 40.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 30.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 6 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 0 | 85.6¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | No | 0 | 72.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.