Market · 3 of 8 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 395 | 44.9¢ | $255 | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No | 300 | 60.7¢ | $194 | — |
| NeonVector0xe090…d0d4 | Yes | 531 | 42.1¢ | $189 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 189 | 52.2¢ | $122 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 215 | 45.7¢ | $76 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 63 | 42.0¢ | $22 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 62 | 55.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x36cd…89b6 | No | 30 | 55.2¢ | $19 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 47 | 35.1¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 25 | 66.0¢ | $16 | — |
| boywonder20x26e8…4c6f | No | 20 | 50.0¢ | $13 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 66.0¢ | $13 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 31 | 54.6¢ | $11 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 20 | 57.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.67 per $100 · 14,485 bets |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | Yes | 9 | 49.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xea24…2cc8 | Yes | 0 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| CopyMEyouwillwin0x8d58…4205 | Yes | 0 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.