Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 85 | 78.1¢ | $61 | — |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 80 | 68.6¢ | $58 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 137 | 25.3¢ | $38 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 32 | 46.0¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 67 | 49.5¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 66.0¢ | $14 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 20 | 51.2¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 20 | 31.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Flingflonger0xecef…4909 | No | 20 | 50.0¢ | $6 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 5 | 71.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 2 | 82.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.