Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 148 | 55.0¢ | $82 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 184 | 46.4¢ | $82 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 98 | 43.2¢ | $54 | — |
| 0xa98e…daa3 | No | 50 | 51.2¢ | $22 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 47.0¢ | $11 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 20 | 57.0¢ | $11 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 47.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 20 | 48.5¢ | $9 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 50.2¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| 0x0e3d…52ab | Yes | 1 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.